900
FXUS64 KBMX 140844
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
344 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 257 AM CDT FRI JUN 14 2024

A strong upper level ridge centered over western TX shifts
eastward across the southern Plains today and settles over the
Deep South Saturday. With increasing heights and low level
temperatures across Central Alabama, expect temperatures to
continue to warm today and tomorrow to near record values. Highs
today will be in the low to mid 90s, and then in the mid to upper
90s on Saturday. A few locations could reach 100F Saturday
afternoon. Not much relief will be had tonight, as overnight
temperatures remain in the 70s for most of the area. Heat indices
will reach 105F for a few locations across the west and south
Saturday afternoon, and a Heat Advisory will likely be needed.

14

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 257 AM CDT FRI JUN 14 2024

A 592 dm ridge that will be squarely over Central Alabama on
Saturday will begin shifting east by Sunday. In accordance, highs
Sunday have trended a couple degrees lower than Saturday. Heat index
values still look to be in the 100-103F range Sunday, which is just
short of advisory criteria. With lows nearly each night during the
forecast period remaining in the low to mid 70s, little relief will
be provided overnight. Even though heat index values may not be
above 105F each afternoon, a prolonged period of temperatures above
74-75F can lead to some health effects. This will require more
caution than usual for heat-sensitive groups or those with prolonged
outdoor activities over the weekend and early week.

There is a chance for some thunderstorm activity Sunday afternoon,
currently forecast over southern and eastern counties. Uncertainly
in extent of rain and cloud cover may affect forecast highs for
Sunday. Monday afternoon will feature an area-wide chance for
thunderstorm activity, along with a slight chance in the south and
west on Tuesday. Highs will be in the low to mid 90s both days.
There is a signal that highs could trend back toward the mid to
upper 90s by late next week.

12

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 121 AM CDT FRI JUN 14 2024

Cannot rule out localized fog overnight, but chances of impacts
to Vis at any terminal are too low to include. Winds will remain
light and variable through the period, due to presence of high
pressure. Other than a few mid and high level clouds, skies will
be clear.

14

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Dry conditions are expected Friday through Sunday morning. Showers
and thunderstorms are possible Sunday afternoon, mainly across
southern and eastern areas. 20-foot winds should average less than 7
mph with directional variability through Monday morning. Afternoon
min RH values are expected to drop into the 30-40 percent today and
Saturday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     95  69  95  69 /   0   0   0   0
Anniston    95  70  97  72 /  10   0  10   0
Birmingham  96  73  97  74 /   0   0   0   0
Tuscaloosa  97  72  98  73 /   0   0   0   0
Calera      96  73  98  73 /   0   0   0   0
Auburn      95  74  96  75 /  10  10  10   0
Montgomery  97  73  98  75 /   0   0  10   0
Troy        97  72  98  72 /   0   0  10   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....12
AVIATION...14