Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN

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033
FNUS73 KDLH 061037
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for 2024 MN Wildfire Academy...MNICS IMT3
National Weather Service Duluth MN
537 AM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 CDT on June 06.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

A few peeks of sunshine are possible at times, but expect cloudy
skies most of the time today. Breezy northwest winds gusting from
25 to 30 mph, especially during the afternoon. On-and-off light to
moderate rain showers are expected at times today. Exact timing of
these showers is difficult due to the scattered nature of them.
They will be possible throughout the day.

Both sky cover and winds will decrease overnight. On Friday,
mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies are expected along with
similarly breezy northwesterly winds gusting to 25 mph,
especially mid-day to mid-afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 13 to 16 mph with gusts to
                    around 26 mph.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL increasing to 4000 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 29 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair to good (27700-35900 knot-ft) increasing
                    to excellent (64000-99800 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.04 inches.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....SCT SCT SCT ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT ISO
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  30  20  20  20  30  30  30  30  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............54  54  53  53  54  54  55  55  56  56  57
RH..............79  80  80  74  74  71  71  66  64  66  62
20 FT wind dir..W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..12  12  13  15  15  15  16  15  15  15  13
20 FT wind gust.23  23  25  25  26  26  26  26  26  26  25
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 2.0 2.4 3.0 3.4 3.8 4.0 3.7 3.5 3.8 3.0
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.20  21  25  25  26  28  29  28  28  25  24
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/100028  36  54  66  78  90  100 88  84  83  64

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (20-30 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 45.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 26 mph
                    in the evening.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL decreasing to 1600 ft AGL early in
                    the evening.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 23 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (63400-71400 knot-ft) decreasing to
                    poor to fair (9600-28900 knot-ft) early in the
                    evening.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR
Weather cov.....ISOLTD ISOLTD
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20     20     10     10     0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............56     56     52     50     47     46
RH..............64     64     71     77     83     83
20 ft wind......NW 13  NW 11  NW 9   NW 8   NW 8   NW 8
20 ft wind gust.23     22     19     15     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....3300   1600   1200   1500   1200   900
Transport wind..NW 22  NW 21  NW 18  NW 18  NW 17  NW 17
Haines index....3      3      3      3      3      3
SDspl kt-ft/100063     29     19     25     18     13

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 26 mph
                    early in the morning.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL increasing to 6600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 24 mph increasing to 21 to 25
                    mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (9900-27900 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good (42400-57400 knot-ft) early in the
                    morning, then increasing to excellent
                    (80500-101800 knot-ft) late in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (124300-144900 knot-ft)
                    in the afternoon decreasing to excellent (98900
                    knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR    MCLEAR    MCLEAR    PCLDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............46        56        64        68
RH..............86        64        52        42
20 FT wind......NW 8G15   NW 10G20  NW 13G23  NW 13G22
Mix hgt (ft)....800       2900      5600      6500
Transport wind..NW 15     NW 23     NW 25     NW 24
Haines index....3         4         4         4
SDspl kt-ft/100010        57        124       138

$$
Forecaster...Josh
Requested by...Chris Bergquist
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2415608.1/DLH
.DELDT 06/05/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Christopher.bergquist@state.mn.us,woodrow.unruh@noaa.gov,afsrock@stcloudstate.edu,wesley.belanger@state.mn.us,brad.hopkins@noaa.gov,josh.donatell@state.mn.us,lori.karau@usda.gov,milocke@paulbunyan.net,nws.duluth@noaa.gov