807
FXUS62 KFFC 111050
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
650 AM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024



...New 12Z Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 331 AM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024

Old frontal boundary is currently across far south GA/north FL. This
boundary will remain nearly stationary, but could wave just a little
northward tomorrow afternoon. The forecast will remain dry today,
but some isolated pops are possible in the far south CWA
tomorrow...nearest to the old boundary.

Temps will remain seasonable. Dewpoints will be very pleasant today
and average in the lower to middle 50s. Low level moisture will
begin to increase slightly tomorrow and dewpoints will creep upwards
into upper 50s to middle 60s.

NListemaa

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 331 AM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024

Not much change from previous discussion. Models continue to have
trouble locking in on the evolution of the Gulf low, though models
continue to develop the low anyways. Moisture within the low will be
high (PWATs 2.5+"). The question is where the low will go. As of
now, models have shifted eastward with a stronger Bermuda high in
the Atlantic. This drives the moisture more into the Mississippi
Delta region, however this is likely to change. PWATs over GA also
look to be difficult to forecast. This is due to the easterly flow
from the Bermuda high, which has the potential to keep PWATs as low
as 1". Given the large spread in potential PWATs, will maintain at
least some PoPs across the southern CWA for much of the extended
outlook and particularly in the afternoon. Further discussion on
thunderstorms can be seen in previous AFDs, but in short expect
showers and thunderstorms possible everyday in the southern CWA
and this possibly spreading to include North GA in later forecast
iterations.

Temperatures will be HOT. Expect the hottest conditions so far this
year with a general increase in highs through Saturday before we
cool off a little bit. Highs by the weekend will be in the mid to
upper 90s across the entire CWA. Dewpoints in the upper 60s and
lower 70s will mean that heat could be a threat, particularly to the
most vulnerable populations (elderly, pets, etc.).

SM

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 626 AM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024

VFR through the period. A wind shift around 5-6Z WED.

//ATL Confidence...12Z Update...
High confidence all elements.

NListemaa

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          63  88  66  90 /   0   0   0  10
Atlanta         65  89  70  91 /   0  10   0  10
Blairsville     58  82  61  85 /   0   0   0  10
Cartersville    58  89  65  92 /   0   0   0  10
Columbus        66  93  72  94 /   0  10  10  20
Gainesville     63  86  67  89 /   0   0   0  10
Macon           66  92  70  93 /   0  10  10  20
Rome            60  89  65  94 /   0   0   0   0
Peachtree City  63  90  68  92 /   0   0   0  10
Vidalia         70  91  72  92 /   0  20  10  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...NListemaa
LONG TERM....SM
AVIATION...NListemaa