997
FXUS62 KMLB 260535
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
135 AM EDT Sun May 26 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 133 AM EDT Sun May 26 2024

Lower coverage of SHRA forecast on Sunday, with confidence in any
impacts too low to include VCSH at any of the TAF sites. Light
offshore winds in the morning will veer E/SE into the afternoon at
around 8-12kts as the sea breeze develops and pushes inland. The
sea breeze collision is expected to occur near MCO in the late
afternoon/early evening, preventing the east coast sea breeze from
reaching LEE. Winds then become light and generally westerly
overnight.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 820 PM EDT Sat May 25 2024

Scattered storms will gradually decrease in coverage and intensity
with loss of daytime heating. However, Martin and St Lucie
counties have not been worked over yet so residual instability and
numerous boundaries lurking there should promote scattered
showers and storms thru 10-11 pm. Otherwise, a quiet overnight is
forecast.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 252 PM EDT Sat May 25 2024

Rest of Today-Sunday...Favorable winds and seas today, but
isolated to scattered lightning storms are expected to push
offshore late this afternoon and evening, working eastward across
the waters through the early overnight. Some of these storms could
become strong, capable of gusty winds over 35 kts and locally
higher seas. Generally favorable boating conditions Sunday, with
just a few showers and storms possible across the Treasure Coast
waters. The ridge axis of weak, broad high pressure will remain
south of the local Atlantic waters, producing light SW-WSW in the
overnight and morning, becoming calm and variable at times, that
back to SE-ESE at 10-15 kts in the afternoon after the sea breeze
develops. Seas 1-3 ft.

Monday-Wednesday Modified Previous Discussion)...Generally favorable
boating conditions will continue into the middle of next week.
West-southwest winds will become south-southeast each afternoon
as the east coast sea breeze develops, with wind speeds 5 to 10
knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots each afternoon through the
period. Seas are forecast to remain between 1 to 3 feet. Monday,
drier air present across the Florida peninsula will continue to
limit rain and storm chances, with any development that does
occur likely remaining south of the Cape. Rain chances increase
again on Tuesday and Wednesday across the local Atlantic waters as
a weak front stalls across or just north of the waters, with
showers and storms that develop across the Florida peninsula
moving offshore into the late afternoon and early evening hours.
Activity will diminish into the overnight hours.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  93  71  94  72 /  10  10  10  10
MCO  96  72  97  74 /  10  10  10  10
MLB  91  73  93  74 /  10  10  20  20
VRB  92  73  95  74 /  20  10  20  20
LEE  95  73  94  75 /  10   0  10  10
SFB  96  73  96  74 /  10  10  10  10
ORL  96  74  96  75 /  10  10  10  10
FPR  93  71  96  72 /  20  10  20  20

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Kelly
AVIATION...Leahy