346
FXUS64 KSHV 080212
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
912 PM CDT Fri Jun 7 2024

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 906 PM CDT Fri Jun 7 2024

Upper-ridging continues to influence the Four State Region this
evening as clear skies prevail. Might be some upper-level cloud
debris from TX panhandle storms overnight, but beyond this,
conditions are expected to remain quiet. Temperatures are a few
degrees warmer this evening when compared to last night, so
thinking is that the afternoon package will remain on track and
lows by tomorrow AM will be in the low to mid 70`s. Aside from
adjusting hourlies to match latest trends, no updates are needed
at this time.

RK

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday Night)
Issued at 144 PM CDT Fri Jun 7 2024

Quiet weather is expected to continue over the next 36-hours, as
high pressure ebb and flows off to our west. Due to this ridge,
winds will continue to hover between 5-10 MPH in the afternoon,
with very limited to speak of in the cloud department as well.
Afternoon highs will continue to range in the mid to upper-90s,
with lows getting into the mid-70s. Some locations may hit or
exceed Heat Advisory criteria tomorrow, but I decided against
issuing one since tomorrow is the hottest day of this stretch, and
temperatures will begin to drop by Sunday.

/44/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through next Thursday)
Issued at 144 PM CDT Fri Jun 7 2024

The upper-level pattern will begin to break down into Sunday, as
a trough and cold front begin to move south from the Midwest. This
cold front will be responsible for increasing rain chances across
the area into Monday, and slightly dropping afternoon highs into
Tuesday. Thankfully, additional widespread rainfall is not
expected with this front, and severe weather chances appear to be
limited at this time as well. However, it`s worth mentioning that
some guidance is hinting at a secondary trough moving through the
region into Wednesday, which could bring some more organized rain
chances back to the region. Even if that were to happen, this
secondary system appears to be very progressive, and will likely
be clear of the area by Thursday night.

From there, it looks as if we begin to enter into a typical
"summer time" pattern, with rain chances becoming diurnally driven
in our southern zones, and afternoon highs climbing to the 90s
each day.

/44/

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 609 PM CDT Fri Jun 7 2024

High pressure centered across the southeast to allow for weak
southerly winds tonight, becoming to 5 to 10 knots on Saturday as
the pressure gradient increases areawide. Otherwise, VFR
conditions to prevail through the terminal forecast period. /05/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  74  96  75  94 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  66  94  72  94 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  68  93  70  92 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  72  95  74  95 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  68  94  72  94 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  73  93  71  91 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  73  94  72  91 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  72  95  71  92 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...44
LONG TERM....44
AVIATION...05