966
FXUS65 KLKN 250831
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
131 AM PDT Sat May 25 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
Scattered showers continue this morning across the region as a
trough of low pressure aloft passes through the Intermountain West.
There is a chance for isolated thunderstorms in the late morning
through mid afternoon across Eastern Nevada. A ridge of high
pressure begins to build Sunday, leading to warmer temperatures
through the early portion of next week. A disturbance reaching the
area by late Tuesday will moderate temperatures and lead to
chances of precipitation through the middle portion of next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Saturday and Sunday

Scattered showers persist across the forecast area this morning
associated with a trough of low pressure aloft. The late morning
to early afternoon hours feature a chance for afternoon
thunderstorms across Eastern Nevada. HREF probabilities show about
a 20% chance of thunderstorms across parts of Elko and White Pine
counties due very modest instability. Model guidance shows the
shower and thunderstorm activity ending by mid afternoon today,
with dry air moving in. There will also be a westerly breeze
across the forecast area today as the storm system makes its way
through the Intermountain West. However, winds are forecast to
abate overnight as the trough exits the region and pressure
gradients relax.

Afternoon highs are forecast to jump several degrees on Sunday as
high pressure begins to build over the area. Afternoon highs are
forecast to generally be in the 70s across the region, with
parts of northern Nye County potentially reaching the low 80s
on Sunday. Dry weather is forecast for Sunday as a result of the
ridge building over the area.

.LONG TERM...Monday through next Saturday

Dry conditions expected early next week as a ridge of high
pressure builds over the Intermountain West. Highs will rise into
the lower to mid 80s and overnight lows in the 40s. A weak upper-
level disturbance will bring light rain showers with isolated
thunderstorms across far northeastern Nevada Tuesday afternoon.

Winds will be fairly light Monday but southwest winds will
increase by midweek as another trough slowly moves into the
Pacific Northwest. This will also lead to a chance of isolated
showers and thunderstorms across Northern Elko County Wednesday
afternoon. Dry conditions expected to continue through the end of
next week. Highs will mostly be in the 70s with overnight lows in
the 30s and 40s.


&&

.AVIATION...Partly to mostly cloudy this morning with virga or light
rain showers over much of the region. Showers taper off from west
to east, ending by around noon at KWMC, by 2pm at KBAM, and by
the mid to late afternoon hours at KEKO and KELY. All terminals
can expect gusty westerly winds this afternoon and early evening
of generally 10-15kts gusting 20-25kts.


&&

.HYDROLOGY...Temperatures will quickly warm Sunday and early next
week and flows on many small creeks and streams are expected to
again rise, possibly into action stage for some, such as Lamoille
Creek. The lower Humboldt continues to run strong with Battle
Mountain currently in action stage and Comus forecast to enter
action stage early next week.

Wildhorse Reservoir resides in action stage and is forecast to
remain in action stage for the next several days.

The Humboldt River at Battle Mountain resides in action stage and
is forecast to remain in action stage for the next several days.


&&

.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

95/90/96