Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM
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289 FXUS65 KABQ 071939 AFDABQ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 1239 PM MST Sun Dec 7 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1155 AM MST Sun Dec 7 2025 - There is high confidence for dry weather with above average temperatures across central and northern New Mexico through next weekend, leading to snowmelt across midslope and high terrain areas. - Northwest crosswinds will probably become moderately strong over the mountains and east central areas on Tuesday and Tuesday night. && .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Monday night) Issued at 1155 AM MST Sun Dec 7 2025 A warming trend will commence tonight through Monday night, and beyond. High temperatures on Monday will vary from near 1991-2020 averages over the Four Corners to around 8 degrees above the averages over southern and eastern parts of the forecast area. Otherwise, dry northwest flow will persist. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday through Saturday) Issued at 1155 AM MST Sun Dec 7 2025 Dry northwest flow aloft will persist through the long-term forecast period as well. Warm temperatures will continue, despite backdoor cold fronts that penetrate the eastern plains both Tuesday night and Thursday afternoon. High temperatures will peak in most locations on Thursday, when readings will vary around 10-20 degrees above 30-year averages. Some near record high temperatures are forecast on the east central and southeast plains Thursday afternoon. The National Blend of Models has temperatures cooling around 5 to 14 degrees in the east on Friday, and a few degrees in many western locations too, as a longwave trough deepens over the central US, and a ridge of high pressure builds off the west coast. Otherwise, northwest winds will become gusty on Tuesday over the mountains, east central and southeast areas, much like they were on Saturday. Peak gusts will probably reach around 50 mph Tuesday afternoon across eastern Torrance and western Guadalupe Counties, including I-40 from Clines Corners eastward almost all of the way to Santa Rosa. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1024 AM MST Sun Dec 7 2025 VFR conditions are forecast for the next 24 hours. High clouds will increase from the northwest late today and tonight, then decrease from the northwest Monday morning. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1155 AM MST Sun Dec 7 2025 Minimum humidities will remain above 15 percent for the next seven days. Areas of poor ventilation are forecast to increase in coverage Monday and Tuesday, then become widespread Wednesday. After areas of ventilation improvement with Thursday`s backdoor cold front on the eastern plains, poor ventilation will become widespread again on Friday and Saturday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Farmington...................... 45 24 46 23 / 0 0 0 0 Dulce........................... 43 12 47 12 / 0 0 0 0 Cuba............................ 43 21 47 21 / 0 0 0 0 Gallup.......................... 50 20 52 18 / 0 0 0 0 El Morro........................ 48 25 52 23 / 0 0 0 0 Grants.......................... 51 20 53 19 / 0 0 0 0 Quemado......................... 49 24 53 22 / 0 0 0 0 Magdalena....................... 51 29 53 29 / 0 0 0 0 Datil........................... 49 25 53 25 / 0 0 0 0 Reserve......................... 59 22 63 22 / 0 0 0 0 Glenwood........................ 65 26 67 25 / 0 0 0 0 Chama........................... 38 14 43 16 / 10 0 0 0 Los Alamos...................... 41 25 45 26 / 0 0 0 0 Pecos........................... 45 24 50 25 / 0 0 0 0 Cerro/Questa.................... 40 19 43 21 / 10 0 0 0 Red River....................... 34 14 36 18 / 10 0 0 0 Angel Fire...................... 38 9 43 11 / 10 0 0 0 Taos............................ 41 14 45 15 / 0 0 0 0 Mora............................ 46 21 50 23 / 0 0 0 0 Espanola........................ 48 21 52 21 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe........................ 42 27 48 28 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe Airport................ 44 24 48 23 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Foothills........... 48 32 51 32 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Heights............. 51 27 54 29 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Valley.............. 54 25 56 26 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 52 28 55 28 / 0 0 0 0 Belen........................... 54 22 54 21 / 0 0 0 0 Bernalillo...................... 51 27 54 27 / 0 0 0 0 Bosque Farms.................... 53 22 55 21 / 0 0 0 0 Corrales........................ 53 26 56 27 / 0 0 0 0 Los Lunas....................... 53 23 55 23 / 0 0 0 0 Placitas........................ 46 30 50 29 / 0 0 0 0 Rio Rancho...................... 52 27 55 28 / 0 0 0 0 Socorro......................... 57 27 58 27 / 0 0 0 0 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 43 27 47 26 / 0 0 0 0 Tijeras......................... 45 27 48 27 / 0 0 0 0 Edgewood........................ 45 23 48 23 / 0 0 0 0 Moriarty/Estancia............... 47 18 50 18 / 0 0 0 0 Clines Corners.................. 42 24 45 24 / 0 0 0 0 Mountainair..................... 48 25 52 26 / 0 0 0 0 Gran Quivira.................... 49 26 53 26 / 0 0 0 0 Carrizozo....................... 53 30 56 30 / 0 0 0 0 Ruidoso......................... 49 30 53 31 / 0 0 0 0 Capulin......................... 43 20 50 23 / 0 0 0 0 Raton........................... 46 19 53 21 / 0 0 0 0 Springer........................ 49 18 56 18 / 0 0 0 0 Las Vegas....................... 46 22 51 23 / 0 0 0 0 Clayton......................... 51 25 57 30 / 0 0 0 0 Roy............................. 49 23 55 23 / 0 0 0 0 Conchas......................... 56 23 58 23 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Rosa...................... 53 28 57 29 / 0 0 0 0 Tucumcari....................... 56 25 58 25 / 0 0 0 0 Clovis.......................... 56 28 59 28 / 0 0 0 0 Portales........................ 57 28 61 27 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Sumner..................... 56 25 61 26 / 0 0 0 0 Roswell......................... 59 27 63 28 / 0 0 0 0 Picacho......................... 58 29 63 33 / 0 0 0 0 Elk............................. 59 27 63 29 / 0 0 0 0 && .ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...44 LONG TERM....44 AVIATION...44