Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM
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030 FXUS65 KABQ 062334 AAA AFDABQ Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 434 PM MST Sat Dec 6 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 425 PM MST Sat Dec 6 2025 - There is high confidence for dry and warmer weather for most of central and northern New Mexico Sunday through Thursday, leading to snowmelt across midslope and high terrain areas. - There is a greater than 60% chance that northwest winds become strong again over the central high terrain and nearby highlands Tuesday and Tuesday night. Difficult travel is possible for large and high-profile vehicles. && .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Monday night) Issued at 1206 PM MST Sat Dec 6 2025 A gusty Pacific cold front crossing western and central parts of the forecast area this afternoon and early evening, and a backdoor cold front that will slide southward through the eastern plains tonight, will cause high temperatures to fall a few to as much as 9 degrees on Sunday compared to today`s readings. High temperatures will then rebound a few to 7 degrees on Monday as a warming trend commences. Under dry northwest flow aloft, gusty winds will return Sunday and Monday afternoons mainly in the mountains and along the east slopes of the central and south central mountains, but winds won`t be as strong as today. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday through Friday) Issued at 1206 PM MST Sat Dec 6 2025 Much like today, winds will strengthen again in the mountains and over east central areas on Tuesday as an upper level trough exiting southeastward from the northern and central Rockies strengthens the flow aloft over NM. The strongest winds on Tuesday may reach 45 mph around Clines Corners, and potentially as far southeast as Clovis and Portales thanks to a developing lee-side surface trough. Breezy to windy conditions may linger over east central areas Tuesday night and Wednesday as another upper level trough crosses the northern and central Rockies, and the lee-side surface trough persists. Otherwise, the warming trend will probably continue Tuesday through Thursday most places. Models are trying to resolve a back door front that may bring cooler temperatures to parts of the eastern plains as early as Wednesday, but more likely in the wake of the second upper level trough to exit the northern and central Rockies on Thursday. High temperatures should peak most places on Wednesday and Thursday around 7 to 19 degrees above 1991-2020 averages. At this time, the National Blend of Models has temperatures cooling further in the east on Friday, and in many western locations too, as a longwave trough deepens over the central US, and a ridge of high pressure builds off the west coast. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 425 PM MST Sat Dec 6 2025 Widespread turbulence continues with another Center Weather Advisory in place over the southern Rockies and nearby plains. Strong northwest winds aloft will continue thru tonight before relaxing very slowly thru Sunday. Mt wave action and localized surface wind gusts up to 30KT are still possible along the east slopes of the central mt chain in the meantime. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1206 PM MST Sat Dec 6 2025 Minimum humidities will remain above 15 percent for the next seven days. Areas of poor ventilation are forecast to increase in coverage Sunday and Monday, then become widespread Tuesday and Wednesday except for pockets of ventilation improvement possible with the gusty winds across the east. Vent rates may improve further in some areas Thursday, only to drop again as poor ventilation becomes widespread again on Friday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Farmington...................... 23 45 23 46 / 0 0 0 0 Dulce........................... 10 43 10 46 / 0 0 0 0 Cuba............................ 20 43 20 47 / 0 0 0 0 Gallup.......................... 18 50 18 52 / 0 0 0 0 El Morro........................ 23 48 24 52 / 0 0 0 0 Grants.......................... 20 51 19 54 / 0 0 0 0 Quemado......................... 23 50 23 53 / 0 0 0 0 Magdalena....................... 29 51 29 54 / 0 0 0 0 Datil........................... 25 49 26 53 / 0 0 0 0 Reserve......................... 23 59 23 63 / 0 0 0 0 Glenwood........................ 26 65 26 68 / 0 0 0 0 Chama........................... 11 38 13 43 / 0 0 0 0 Los Alamos...................... 23 41 25 45 / 0 0 0 0 Pecos........................... 21 45 23 51 / 0 0 0 0 Cerro/Questa.................... 18 39 18 42 / 0 0 0 0 Red River....................... 13 32 14 36 / 0 0 0 0 Angel Fire...................... 8 38 8 42 / 0 0 0 0 Taos............................ 15 41 13 44 / 0 0 0 0 Mora............................ 18 46 19 50 / 0 0 0 0 Espanola........................ 20 48 20 52 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe........................ 25 43 26 46 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe Airport................ 22 43 22 48 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Foothills........... 31 49 31 52 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Heights............. 28 51 27 54 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Valley.............. 26 54 25 57 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 29 53 27 55 / 0 0 0 0 Belen........................... 23 52 21 54 / 0 0 0 0 Bernalillo...................... 27 52 26 54 / 0 0 0 0 Bosque Farms.................... 22 53 21 54 / 0 0 0 0 Corrales........................ 27 53 25 55 / 0 0 0 0 Los Lunas....................... 24 53 23 54 / 0 0 0 0 Placitas........................ 28 47 29 49 / 0 0 0 0 Rio Rancho...................... 28 52 26 54 / 0 0 0 0 Socorro......................... 30 58 28 58 / 0 0 0 0 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 26 43 26 46 / 0 0 0 0 Tijeras......................... 26 44 27 48 / 0 0 0 0 Edgewood........................ 23 45 23 49 / 0 0 0 0 Moriarty/Estancia............... 18 47 17 51 / 0 0 0 0 Clines Corners.................. 21 42 23 45 / 0 0 0 0 Mountainair..................... 26 47 25 52 / 0 0 0 0 Gran Quivira.................... 26 48 25 52 / 0 0 0 0 Carrizozo....................... 30 54 30 57 / 0 0 0 0 Ruidoso......................... 31 49 30 53 / 0 0 0 0 Capulin......................... 19 43 20 50 / 0 0 0 0 Raton........................... 18 46 18 53 / 0 0 0 0 Springer........................ 16 48 17 54 / 0 0 0 0 Las Vegas....................... 19 46 21 52 / 0 0 0 0 Clayton......................... 28 51 26 57 / 0 0 0 0 Roy............................. 22 48 21 54 / 0 0 0 0 Conchas......................... 25 55 23 57 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Rosa...................... 26 52 26 57 / 0 0 0 0 Tucumcari....................... 26 55 24 58 / 0 0 0 0 Clovis.......................... 30 56 28 59 / 0 0 0 0 Portales........................ 28 57 26 60 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Sumner..................... 27 56 24 60 / 0 0 0 0 Roswell......................... 33 60 27 63 / 0 0 0 0 Picacho......................... 33 59 28 64 / 0 0 0 0 Elk............................. 29 60 27 64 / 0 0 0 0 && .ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...44 LONG TERM....44 AVIATION...42