


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Fairbanks, AK
Issued by NWS Fairbanks, AK
964 FXAK69 PAFG 131238 AFDAFG Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 438 AM AKDT Mon Oct 13 2025 .SYNOPSIS... The remnants of Typhoon Halong exit Alaska through the North Slope into the Eastern Arctic Ocean Monday morning. Winds continue to calm down in the wake of the storm. High waters begin to receed in most places Monday morning. Relatively mild weather is expected through the end of the week with a slight cooling trend and some rain and snow. && .KEY WEATHER MESSAGES... Central and Eastern Interior... - Breezy southwesterly winds early Monday morning continue to diminish through the day. - Areas of rain and high elevation snow expected across the southern interior on Monday then southeastern interior on Tuesday. Snow levels range from 1500-2000 ft with up to 3 inches above 2000 ft by Wed morning. West Coast and Western Interior... - Breezy southwesterly winds in the wake of Ex-Typhoon Halong continue to diminish through Monday. Winds weaken earliest in the southwest and diminish later in the northeast. - High waters in the wake of Ex-Typhoon Halong peaked Sunday evening and overnight. Water levels are expected to lower towards normal quickly Monday. - Weak southerly flow returns to the west coast Tuesday along with additional light rain, although heavier along south facing slopes. Winds shift easterly and increase Wednesday while light rain continues. Winds diminish again Thursday. North Slope and Brooks Range.. - Stronger gusty southwest winds in the Brooks Range and along the Eastern North slope diminish Monday morning. - Areas of heavy snow continue in the Brooks Range Monday and slowly lessens through the day. Areas of low visibility due to blowing snow in the Brooks Range quickly improve Monday morning. - Areas of lighter snow expected along the North Slope Monday morning, with potential for rain and rain/snow mix further east. && .FORECAST ANALYSIS AND DISCUSSION... Ex-Typhoon Halong continues to move northeast out of the state and was positioned over the North Slope as of early Monday morning. It is expected to quickly move east-northeast into the Beaufort Sea and onwards into Canada today while simultaneously quickly weakening. This allows the strong winds and high waters of the storm to diminish rapidly Monday morning from the southwest at the earliest and to the northeast at the latest. Another strong low moves out of the North Pacific and along the Aleutians towards southern Alaska Tuesday through Wednesday, but is weaker and less organized than previous storms. It`s most likely impact will be widespread precipitation across the state with some breezy northeast winds through the Interior. Given how quickly this system becomes disorganized once it reaches the Alaskan Peninsula, its exact impacts are difficult to gauge, but generally low impact weather is currently expected. && .EXTENDED FORECAST DAYS 4-7... At the start of the extended forecast period, Wednesday night, another low pressure system will have moved east across the Aleutians and into southern Alaska. This is expected to bring substantial moisture across the state as the low slowly moves north through the end of the week. This low loses most of its organization as it moves north and thus winds are not expected to be very noteworthy. It will be quite wet however and large areas of light rain are expected with snow at higher elevations. Over the weekend there is a chance for another strong low pressure system to move out of the North Pacific towards the Aleutians, but confidence is still low in the strength and position of this low. Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4... A low pressure system lifts north along the West Coast Wednesday through Friday with moderate westerly winds developing on the south side of this system. There is a chance for high surf in the YK Delta Wednesday night that gradually shifts north into the Norton Sound by Thursday night. && .AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AK...Coastal Flood Advisory for AKZ801>803. Coastal Flood Advisory for AKZ815. Coastal Flood Warning for AKZ816>818-820. Coastal Flood Warning for AKZ821. Coastal Flood Warning for AKZ822-824. Coastal Flood Warning for AKZ825-827. Winter Storm Warning for AKZ807-809. PK...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ809-855-860. Small Craft Advisory for PKZ814. Gale Warning for PKZ815-861. && $$ Stokes