462
FXUS64 KAMA 151718
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1118 AM CST Sat Nov 15 2025

...New KEY MESSAGES, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1113 AM CST Sat Nov 15 2025

- Above average temperatures persist through at least Tuesday, with
each day getting gradually cooler.

- Next significant weather system looks to be on the horizon for
  Tuesday night through Friday, with increased precipitation
  chances.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Sunday night)
Issued at 1113 AM CST Sat Nov 15 2025

Upper level troughing is continuing to dominate the combined
Panhandles with the continuation of above normal afternoon highs. A
shortwave trough is expected to skirt to the northeast only
marginally impacting the area with a weak cold front and slight cool
down mainly tomorrow into Monday.

North to northeasterly winds this afternoon are progged to be around
15 mph with a frontal boundary moving through. This boundary will be
lacking CAA with only upsloping winds and a minimal drop in H85
temps until tomorrow. This will allow temperatures to only be
slightly cooler (maybe by 5 degrees F) today with above average
highs continuing. The real cool down doesn`t occur until tomorrow
when temps across the north are looking to be around the lower 70s
instead of upper 70s. Winds are expected to return to the south
around 10 to 15 mph with maybe some slightly higher Tds for
tomorrow afternoon. RHs are still expected to drop into the 20-30
percent range.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through next Friday)
Issued at 1113 AM CST Sat Nov 15 2025

Upper 60s to 70s afternoon temperatures are looking to remain
through Wed with upper level ridging keeping its hold for a little
while longer. It is not until Thursday when the next more robust
trough may be entering the Southern Great Plains. This trough is
expected to break down the upper level ridging and send
temperatures back down to near normal starting on Thu. There
remains a bit of uncertainty still at this time, but this next
system is progged to bring with it some potential for some showers
Thu into Thu night. Afternoon highs are expected to return to the
mid to upper 50s Thu into Fri with night time lows returning to
the upper 20 to mid 30s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1113 AM CST Sat Nov 15 2025

VFR conditions are expected to prevail with northerly winds,
westerly for KAMA to start off with. Winds should only reach 12
kts 15 at most, with maybe some slightly higher gusts.

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...36
LONG TERM....36
AVIATION...36