138
FXUS64 KAMA 081843
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1243 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

...New KEY MESSAGES, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1152 AM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

-Low chance (10-20%) of some sub 40 degree high temperatures for
 portions of the Panhandles by the second half of the coming weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Tuesday night)
Issued at 1152 AM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

Dry conditions expected to continue through the short term
forecast period. Latest water vapor satellite imagery shows
established mid level dry air moving SE into the southern High
Plains in the domain of large scale subsidence in the region,
which should further establish our mostly clear skies continuing.
With a sfc trough developing lee of the Rockies tomorrow within
this established synoptic regime, temperatures will moderate
tomorrow to values well above average. High temperatures will
range from the mid 60s to lower 70s, where average highs for early
December should be in the lower 50s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 1152 AM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

A series of fronts will bring temperatures a bit on a roller
coaster throughout the long term forecast period. Temperatures
behind the first front will drop back to near average on
Wednesday, with a quick warm up well above average on Thursday. A
second cold front will then enter the Panhandles towards the end
of the work week bringing temps back to near average and continue
through the weekend. Depending on which 08/12Z global model data
set to analyze, another shot of some very cold air may move south
into the central CONUS. Latest probs skirt the Panhandles with a
10-30% chance for high temps at or below 40 degrees and less than
10% chance for high temps at or below 32 degrees, with current
highest chances in the eastern Panhandles. Could cause some
impacts for prolonged outdoor activities in the cold, we will
watch trends closely. Dry conditions expected to continue
throughout the long term forecast period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1111 AM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

VFR conditions are expected throughout the 18Z TAF period at all
TAF sites. Winds will be westerly at 5-10 kts becoming variable,
and then more southwesterly at 5-10 kts towards the end of the TAF
period, with mostly clear skies.

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...29
LONG TERM....29
AVIATION...29