720
FXUS64 KAMA 101104
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
504 AM CST Mon Nov 10 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1110 PM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

- Below Freezing temperatures are expected for the Monday morning
  commute with a Freeze Warning in place for the Southeastern
  Panhandles.

- Above average temperatures and at times breezy conditions are
  forecasted this new week.

- A slight pattern change next weekend may lead to cooler
  conditions and low chances for precipitation.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Tuesday night)
Issued at 1110 PM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

Latest observations from the present mesonet stations has seen
winds go quite tonight, which has seen temperature quickly
dropping across the Panhandles. As it stands locations across the
Oklahoma Panhandles are already in the mid 20s before midnight
with temperatures only expected to get colder. In response to this
rapid drop off, the forecast has been adjust for much colder lows
for Monday morning with new expectations seeing teens to mid 20s
by the time the sun rises. Meanwhile, a Freeze Warning is still
present for the Southeastern Panhandles as the growing season is
still on going for this area. Beyond this cold morning, conditions
look to stay dry as a ridge continues to build over the Panhandles
and most of the Southwestern Untied States. By Tuesday, look for
much warmer temperature to move in with afternoon highs back near
the 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 1110 PM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

Model agreement continues to trend towards a dry weather pattern
holding over the Panhandles as the expected ridge remains present.
However, this ridge does look to slowly deteriorate over the
course of the week. While this deterioration wont bring in any
moisture, it will turn our upper-level flow more zonal and allow
for warmer temperature to push back in. Expect temperatures to
warm back into the 70s by the mid-week with chances at some low
80s in some of our warmer locations. As for next weekend, model
agreement has seen some hints at a change to this dry pattern with
a new system moving in. However, confidence at this time is only
sitting around 10 to 20%.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 503 AM CST Mon Nov 10 2025

VFR conditions expected to prevail through the 12Z TAF period.

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CST this morning for TXZ014-015-019-
     020.

OK...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...11
LONG TERM....11
AVIATION...36