149
FXUS64 KAMA 131741
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1141 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025

...New KEY MESSAGES, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1100 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025

- Above average temperatures through the work week and into the
  weekend. Moderate chance for record high temperatures on today
  through Saturday.

- A weak weather system arriving Sunday night brings cooler
  conditions.

- A further weather system brings the chance for precipitation
  for mid next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Friday night)
Issued at 1100 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025

A ridge of high pressure remains across the southern plains for
both today and Friday. This setup will continue the stretch of
dry weather with above normal temperatures through both days. In
fact it will get hot enough that the highs will approach of even
exceed record levels. Friday is the most likely day for this to
occur as it will also have SW winds that will bring in further
warm air to the panhandles. This would see wide spread 80s across
the panhandles and even 90s returning to at least the Palo Duro
Canyon.


&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1100 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025

There is a moderate to high chance for the ridge of high pressure
to remain across the panhandles through Saturday. This will
continue the dry weather and above normal temperatures. Saturday
is the last day in which the high will get close to or even reach
record highs. Come Sunday a weak dry weather system moves across
the southern plains north of the panhandles. The main impact from
this weather system is the breaking down of the ridge of high
pressure which will usher in cooler conditions to the panhandles.
This will most likely cause the above normal temperatures to fall
to near normal by Tuesday. As this weather system is expected to
be dry only scattered mid to high level clouds will mark its
passage.

The next weather system has a moderate chance of ejecting out of
the western U.S. into the southern plains mid next week. There is
still uncertainty with the trajectory and strength of this weather
system creating a large spread in possible weather impacts to the
panhandles. Currently the most likely impacts is that a low amount
of moisture moves across the panhandles. This in turn makes it
such that there is a low chance for precipitation across the
panhandles for mid next week. There next less likely solution is
that this weather system is either or both weaker and drier. If
this solution comes to fruition then the panhandles would see
little in the way of impacts beyond a further shot of cooler
temperatures. The current forecast reflects the wetter solution
with a low chance for light precipitation in the panhandles
during the mid portions of next week. As this weather system
remains in flux there is a high chance that the forecast will
shift as it becomes clearer how this weather system evolve.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1100 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025

VFR conditions at all terminals and across the panhandles for the
next 24 hours.

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...98
LONG TERM....98
AVIATION...98