026
AXNT20 KNHC 292227
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Nov 30 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2225 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Central Atlantic Significant Swell: A surface trough, currently
analyzed from 15N to 25N along 45W, will merge with another
surface trough currently analyzed from 08N to 15N along 50W. The
combined trough will advance westward across the tropical and
subtropical central Atlantic, and bring fresh to strong E winds
across most of the waters from 15N to 30N east of 60W through
Monday. These winds will build seas to 8-12 ft in the described
area by Monday. Late on Monday, winds and seas will begin to
diminish as the trough weakens and continues westward to 65W. This
pattern is partly associated with a broad upper level trough
across the central Atlantic.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the eastern Atlantic through the coast
of Sierra Leone near 07N11W and continues to 05N20W. The ITCZ
extends from 05N20W to 07N48W. A few showers are seen near these
boundaries.

GULF OF AMERICA...

Strong high pressure centered over the eastern United States
dominates the Gulf of America. The pressure gradient between this
ridge and lower pressures associated with the stationary front in
the NW Caribbean and SW North Atlantic result in fresh to strong
NE winds in the SE Gulf and Florida Straits. Seas in these waters
are 5-8 ft. In the western Gulf, moderate to fresh southerly winds
and seas of 5-7 ft are noted west of 94W. Elsewhere, light to
gentle winds and moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast, the winds in the SE Gulf will diminish Sun as
the aforementioned front dissipates. In the NW Gulf, fresh to
locally strong SE winds an approaching cold front over Texas. This
front will move offshore Mon, stall Mon night into Tue, when a
low pressure will form off Texas and move NE into the SE U.S.
Thereafter, the front will move SE farther into the basin, but
then stall into late week as another low forms over Texas.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A stationary front is draped across the NW Caribbean, extending
from central Cuba to Belize. Divergence aloft and tropical
moisture result in scattered showers over the central Caribbean,
also affecting eastern Cuba and Hispaniola. Moderate to locally
fresh easterly trade winds and moderate seas are occurring in the
central, SW and eastern Caribbean Sea. Elsewhere, moderate or
lighter winds and moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast, fresh NE winds and locally rough seas in the far NW
basin will diminish tonight as a stationary front dissipates.
Elsewhere, high pressure in the Central Atlantic will contribute
to moderate to fresh trades, which will diminish for the start of
next week as the high shifts east.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please see the SPECIAL FEATURES section for information on a
Significant Swell Event in the Central Atlantic.

A stationary front extends from Bermuda to the central Bahamas
and central Cuba. Scattered showers and tstorms are along the
front. Strong high pressure centered over North Carolina continues
to force fresh to strong NE winds to the west of the front across
the Bahamas to the Straits of Florida. Seas are 8-10 ft from 25N
to 29N between 66W and 76W. Seas are 4-8 ft elsewhere in the W
Atlantic. Elsewhere across the basin, aside from the SPECIAL
FEATURE, trades are gentle to moderate with 4-7 ft seas.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned front will
dissipate through Sun, and high pressure north of the front will
shift eastward, allowing winds and seas to diminish. Another weak
front will stall off the northeast Florida coast Mon, then lift
northward Mon night. Expect southerly winds and building seas
north of 29N and west of 75W Tue as low pressure moves from the
northern Gulf to the Carolinas. Looking ahead, these strong
southerly winds will shift eastward north of 28N ahead of a cold
front moving off the northeast Florida coast Tue night into Wed.
This front will reach from Bermuda to South Florida by late Wed.
Meanwhile, strong winds and rough seas will accompany a trough
moving westward into the waters northeast of the Leeward Islands
Sun through Tue night.

$$
Delgado