949
FXUS61 KBGM 050806
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
306 AM EST Fri Dec 5 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
After a cold day on today, temperatures will warm up a bit for
the weekend, but still remain below normal. The weather pattern
will remain active, with several chances for light snow over
the next week as several clipper systems push through.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...

A pleasant arctic airmass has settled over the region, with
several spots clocking in with below zero temperatures this
morning. Winds have weakened overnight, so wind chills aren`t
too much of an issue. However, anywhere the winds can climb
above 5 mph this morning will experience wind chill readings
around -10F.

High pressure slides east of the region today and this will
allow warmer return flow to take hold by this afternoon, helping
temperatures bounce back some. However, highs today will still
be about 10 degrees below normal for early December as they top
out in the 20s.

Clouds will increase this evening and overnight as a weak
clipper system approaches from the west. The shortwave pushes
through on Saturday, but will lack moisture. It`s possible that
a dusting to half inch of snow falls across the I90 corridor,
but nothing significant.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...

The zonal weather patter will see yet another fast moving shortwave/clipper
system push through the area later in the day on Sunday. This
system is looking a little more potent with the latest model
runs and will push another cold front through. A widespread 1 to
3 inch snow will be possible Sunday evening, with the highest
amounts across Central NY. Also, behind the cold front will be a
reinforcement of arctic air just in time for start of the
work week.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
The aforementioned cold airmass will result in highs only in the
upper teens to mid 20s on Monday, followed by lows below zero Monday
night for some. Temperatures will start to moderate closer to
normal on Tuesday and a little warmer yet on Wednesday.

We will remain in zonal flow through the week and another
clipper system pushes in midweek. The track of this system will
determine what precipitation will fall on Wednesday, with a
farther north track allowing warmer air to push in, possibly
bringing rain for NE PA. Luckily this is still 6 days away, so
plenty of time to sort that out and also any precipitation with
this system will be light. The good news about the zonal weather
pattern is that no significant storm systems are expected and
only minor snowfall accumulations will be possible, even though
we will likely see several disturbances continue to push through
during this period.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Mostly VFR conditions through the period. There are some lake
effect clouds coming off Cayuga Lake and bringing MVFR ceilings
to ITH early this morning, but as the low level flow shifts more
westerly in the next couple hours, these clouds will then
scatter out.

Finally, some marine layer clouds will push into AVP this
evening and eventually make their way up to BGM and possibly ELM
as well. This will likely bring MVFR ceiling restrictions
through the overnight period into Saturday morning.

Outlook...

Saturday...Occasional restrictions possible in scattered snow
showers, mainly during the afternoon and especially at the
Central NY terminals.

Sunday...Restrictions possible as a frontal system and scattered
snow showers approaches the region.

Monday...Becoming mainly VFR, but lingering restrictions
possible at the Central NY terminals due to lake effect clouds
and/or light snow showers.

Tuesday...Restrictions possible in scattered snow showers,
especially in the afternoon.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...MPK
NEAR TERM...MPK
SHORT TERM...BJG/MPK
LONG TERM...BJG/MPK
AVIATION...MPK