608
FXUS64 KBMX 051100
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
500 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 500 AM CST FRI DEC 5 2025

 - Up to 1 inch of rainfall is expected through Sunday afternoon,
   potentially approaching 2 inches along and south of the I-85
   corridor. However, flooding impacts are not expected.

 - Below average high temperatures are anticipated through
   Tuesday, with the exception of Sunday being near average.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Today through next Thursday)
Issued at 1238 AM CST FRI DEC 5 2025

Today through Saturday

Rain chances will continue today and tomorrow across mainly the
central and southern counties in Central Alabama as a Gulf low
swings northeastward up the Carolina coast today and leaves
behind a "conveyor belt of moisture" across the southern areas. My
counterpart on the day shift mentioned an "ebb and flow" of rain
pushing north and south through the central part of the area
through Saturday, which still appears to be the case as of this
forecast update. Areas south of the I-85 corridor may see another
inch or so of rain by Saturday night. Northwestern counties should
see little to no rain.

Sunday through Thursday

Temperatures will warm into the upper 50s to low 60s on Sunday.
Slight rain chances will overspread the entire region again Sunday
ahead of an approaching trough. Rain will end west to east by Sunday
night into Monday morning, and Monday looks to be cool and dry
across much of the region. Monday night lows are likely to drop to
near freezing across the southeast and below freezing across central
and northern areas. A considerable portion of the region is likely
to drop as low as the mid 20s. Temperatures will rebound again
Tuesday and Wednesday, with highs and lows slowly moderating. Highs
in the low to mid 60s are forecast for much of the area Wednesday
before rain chances return Wednesday night into Thursday morning
ahead of yet another approaching trough.

12

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 500 AM CST FRI DEC 5 2025

LIFR/IFR ceilings and vis present at area terminals due to
ongoing low clouds and light rain/drizzle. Low clouds now appear
to be in for the day, with ceilings struggling to lift above
MVFR. Vis should improve during the day at BHM, EET, and TCL but
could remain MVFR for MGM and AUO with continued rain chances
through the day. Ceilings lower again to IFR/LIFR after 3z
tonight.

16

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Rain remains in the forecast through the weekend, with fuels likely
staying damp for a few days into next week. MinRH values will remain
above 50% through Monday, with fire weather concerns remaining
little to none.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     50  36  51  35 /  10  10  20  10
Anniston    50  39  52  36 /  30  20  30  10
Birmingham  50  39  52  38 /  10  20  20  10
Tuscaloosa  50  38  54  39 /  10  20  20  10
Calera      52  38  54  38 /  20  20  30  10
Auburn      52  44  52  42 /  60  50  60  20
Montgomery  52  44  53  43 /  60  40  60  20
Troy        53  44  52  43 /  70  50  80  30

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...12
AVIATION...16