Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Brownsville, TX
Issued by NWS Brownsville, TX
439 FXUS64 KBRO 122322 AAA AFDBRO Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Brownsville TX 522 PM CST Wed Nov 12 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 520 PM CST Wed Nov 12 2025 -Above normal temperatures are expected through the forecast period. -There is an elevated risk of rip currents today and again this weekend. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1119 AM CST Wed Nov 12 2025 The forecast remains on track with warm and dry conditions expected into next week. Temperatures today will rise into the mid to upper 80s. By this weekend, as the warming trend continues, much of Deep South Texas will be in the low 90s, well above normal for this time of year. Overnight temperatures will remain 5 to 10 degrees above normal as well. Breezy conditions will continue today with afternoon wind gusts of around 25 mph, mainly along and east of I-69C, before tapering off this evening. Forecasts models continue to slow and stall the cold front mentioned in the previous forecast packages northwest of the CWA. The only impact to Deep South Texas at this time will be an enhanced pressure gradient that will lead to breezy conditions along the coast early next week. A moderate risk of rip currents continues into this evening and will return to moderate this weekend. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 520 PM CST Wed Nov 12 2025 VFR conditions prevail through the TAF period with southeasterly winds occasionally gusting over 20 kts into early this evening and near 20 kts during the day on Thursday. && .MARINE... Issued at 1119 AM CST Wed Nov 12 2025 Generally favorable conditions are expected on the waters off the lower Texas coast this week. Each afternoon winds will increase leading to potential low end caution conditions, mainly on the Laguna and nearshore waters. Seas of 3 to 4 feet and 4 to 6 second periods will persist through the period. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BROWNSVILLE 66 86 67 86 / 0 0 0 10 HARLINGEN 60 87 61 87 / 0 0 0 0 MCALLEN 63 89 65 89 / 0 0 0 0 RIO GRANDE CITY 60 90 62 90 / 0 0 0 0 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 73 81 73 81 / 0 0 0 10 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 65 84 66 84 / 0 0 0 10 && .BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...68-McGinnis LONG TERM....68-McGinnis AVIATION...56-Hallman