Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Brownsville, TX
Issued by NWS Brownsville, TX
459 FXUS64 KBRO 141115 AFDBRO Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Brownsville TX 515 AM CST Fri Nov 14 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 511 AM CST Fri Nov 14 2025 - Above-normal temperatures are expected through the forecast period with breezy south-southeasterly winds. A weak cold front is possible late next week. - Near record or record high temperatures are possible Sunday through Tuesday. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1033 PM CST Thu Nov 13 2025 High pressure will continue build over Deep South Texas through this weekend and into next week. This will result in rain-free conditions and above normal temperatures across region through at least the middle of next week. The unseasonably temperatures may lead to record or near record high temperatures across the area late this weekend into Tuesday. Highs are expected to be in the upper 80s/lower 90s each day under partly cloudy skies. Lows tonight and Friday night are expected in the low to mid 60s, will gradually increase into the upper 60s and the 70s by early next week as low level moisture increases. Gusty southeast winds are expected each afternoon with a slight increase in winds Monday through Wednesday as the pressure gradient strengthens. A 500mb trough approaching from the west on Thursday will bring a low (20-30%) chance rain and may push a weak cold front into the region. Some drier and slightly cooler air may arrive by late late week. There is also an elevated risk for life-threatening rip currents at local beaches this weekend, and will continue into next week. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 511 AM CST Fri Nov 14 2025 VFR conditions are expected to continue through the TAF period. Mostly clear skies and southeasterly winds are expected to continue through the day, with wind gusts increasing this afternoon. && .MARINE... Issued at 1033 PM CST Thu Nov 13 2025 Moderate to breezy southeasterly winds will prevail each afternoon through much of the period due to an enhanced pressure gradient along the lower Texas coast. Exercise caution to borderline Small Craft Advisory conditions will be possible each day through Wednesday, especially across the Laguna Madre. && .CLIMATE... Issued at 1033 PM CST Thu Nov 13 2025 Well above normal temperatures may lead to record or near record high temperatures across the area Sunday through Tuesday. Brownsville Record Highs...Forecast Highs Mon, Nov 17...91/2015...90 Tue, Nov 18...92/2024...91 Harlingen Record Highs...Forecast Highs Mon, Nov 17...89/2024...91 Tue, Nov 18...91/2024...91 McAllen Record Highs...Forecast Highs Sun, Nov 16...93/2011...92 Mon, Nov 17...92/2024...93 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BROWNSVILLE 85 67 85 69 / 0 0 0 0 HARLINGEN 88 62 87 64 / 0 0 0 0 MCALLEN 89 66 90 68 / 0 0 0 0 RIO GRANDE CITY 90 62 91 64 / 0 0 0 0 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 81 73 80 73 / 0 0 0 0 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 84 66 84 67 / 0 0 0 0 && .BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...63 LONG TERM....63 AVIATION...60-BE