Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
976 FXUS64 KCRP 111738 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 1138 AM CST Thu Dec 11 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1126 AM CST Thu Dec 11 2025 - Gradual warm-up through the weekend ahead of the next cold front on Sunday - Patchy to areas of fog possible inland and across the coastal waters beginning Thursday night and continuing through the weekend - Low to medium chance for rain this weekend ahead of Sunday cold front && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1223 AM CST Thu Dec 11 2025 Near normal temperatures are expected Thursday before another warming trend begins Thursday night into Friday. Above normal temperatures will return Friday and continue through early this weekend before our next front sweeps across the region late this weekend. Confidence is increasing in terms of timing, however, the strength of the front is still a bit cloudy. At the minimum, at least near normal temperatures will be expected in the wake of the cold front. Due to limited moisture, rain chances for the rest of this work week and beginning of the weekend will be near zero. However, moisture will increase ahead of the front with low to medium (20-50%) rain chances returning Sunday. While moisture levels overall will be on the low end, sufficient low level moisture will be in place to support fog development during the overnight and early morning hours beginning Thursday night. This includes sea fog as well if light winds and cooler shelf waters persist. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1126 AM CST Thu Dec 11 2025 VFR conditions will prevail through the evening hours. Beginning around 05-07Z, areas of fog will start to set in across our eastern sites, with many models signaling it spreading farther inland to our western sites by 09-10Z. IFR/LIFR conditions will be likely at times, with VSBYs dropping to 1SM or less through mid- morning on Friday. By then, any fog that develops should begin to dissipate. MVFR CIGs may linger through late morning into the early afternoon before improving to VFR levels through Friday evening. && .MARINE... Issued at 1223 AM CST Thu Dec 11 2025 A gentle to moderate northeast breeze (BF 3-4) will continue the the morning hours before shifting to the south to southeast Thursday night. Winds Friday will weaken to light to gentle (BF 2-3) levels and remain light through Saturday night before restrengthening and shifting to the northeast in the wake of our next front. Rain chances will remain below 10% through Friday before increasing to low to medium (25-50%) Friday night through the weekend. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1223 AM CST Thu Dec 11 2025 Minimum relative humidity values will dip below 30% through Thursday across portions of the Brush Country. However, due to generally low ERCs in the 50-70th percentile and weak winds of 5-10 mph, elevated fire weather conditions remain negligible at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 57 78 65 79 / 0 0 10 20 Victoria 52 77 60 78 / 0 0 10 30 Laredo 56 80 60 81 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 54 80 61 81 / 0 0 10 20 Rockport 59 74 63 75 / 0 0 20 30 Cotulla 49 77 59 78 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 56 80 64 81 / 0 0 10 20 Navy Corpus 62 74 67 74 / 0 0 20 30 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...JCP/84 AVIATION...KRS/98