232
FXUS64 KCRP 042355
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
555 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 550 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

- Low to medium rain chances (20-50%) today through Friday

- Potential minor coastal flooding today through late week

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1245 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

The cold front has now cleared the coast leaving some lingering
showers across the region under mostly cloudy skies. Conditions
are expected to dry out across the region by this evening, though
rain chances are expected to return across the region Friday. This
is due to sufficient isentropic lift at the 305K level. Expect
showers across the area through midday with chances diminishing
during the afternoon hours. The region will see a slight warming
trend this weekend ahead of our next front. This will bring
temperatures down slightly. Though since its not as strong of a
front and upper level moisture not being as abundant like we saw
with this front bringing widespread cloud cover, we will see highs
remaining in the 60s and 70s with 80s returning to the region by
midweek. Lows however will be pretty chilly to start the week with
30s in our northern counties and into Victoria. 30s and 40s will
be expected through Tuesday morning. Generally, dry conditions
will exist through the period after Friday.

Will continue to monitor the possibility of minor coastal flooding
along the Gulf beaches. We didn`t see advisory conditions the past
couple of days though with tide levels expected to continue
peaking around 1.8 MSL it`s worth keeping an eye on.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 550 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

A mixture of VFR to MVFR conditions is ongoing across area
terminals, with patchy light drizzle across the western
terminals. Conditions will deteriorate again overnight to IFR
levels as a mid level disturbance moves across. Rain probabilities
will increase around 08-12Z Friday, and continue through at least
the late morning hours before improving in the afternoon. Winds
will generally be light out of the north to northeast.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1245 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

With the cold front now offshore, fresh to strong northerly flow
has followed in its wake and will last through Friday morning.
Small Craft Advisory conditions will persist through tomorrow
morning (Friday). Winds are forecast to weaken to gentle to
moderate heading into the weekend, with the wind direction
varying. Rain chances today will increase to medium to high,
60-90% through Friday night. Low to medium chances linger through
Saturday evening.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1245 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

Elevated fire weather conditions are not expected through the week.
Winds will remain light to moderate inland, predominately out of the
north to northeast. Minimum relative humidity will remain above 30%
daily through Saturday. Sunday`s relative humidity values will dip
below 30% due to a passing cold front, however due to low ERC and
winds, confidence is low for any elevated fire weather conditions.
Low to medium rain chances continue today through Friday, with
greatest chances over the Coastal Bend and Victoria Crossroads.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    43  56  49  69 /  30  50  30  10
Victoria          39  51  43  69 /  20  40  20  10
Laredo            48  58  50  74 /  50  30  20   0
Alice             42  54  46  71 /  30  40  30  10
Rockport          44  57  50  68 /  30  60  30  10
Cotulla           44  53  44  72 /  40  50  10   0
Kingsville        43  58  48  71 /  30  40  30  10
Navy Corpus       48  58  54  69 /  30  50  40  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM CST Friday for GMZ231-232-236-
     237-250-255-270-275.

&&

$$


DISCUSSION...NP/92
AVIATION...ANM/88