Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
043 FXUS64 KCRP 061146 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 546 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 538 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025 - Warmer this weekend with more sun this afternoon and Sunday. - Foggy conditions likely tonight across Coastal Plains. - Another cold front Sunday night but showers are not expected. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1200 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025 A passing mid to upper level disturbance has combined with the available moisture to generate patchy light drizzle across portions of South Texas this evening. A low chance of showers remains in the forecast through early morning for inland locations, followed by dry conditions through the remainder of the forecast cycle. Across the marine zones, still expecting a few showers in the morning with chances diminishing through the day. Fog probabilities increase to around 30-60% (HREF) tonight into Sunday morning owing to light and variable winds overnight along with drier mid levels, and dewpoint depressions around 1-2 degrees F. Warm temperatures return to the region today into Sunday as a weak onshore flow resumes, with highs reaching the upper 70s to low 80s by Sunday afternoon. However, our next cold front is progged to also swing through the region on Sunday, resulting in breezy offshore winds and cooler temperatures early next week. Lows will fall back into the 40s Sunday night and highs are forecast to only warm up into the 60s on Monday. Onshore flow returns once again on Tuesday maintaining warmer temperatures through late week, before the next frontal boundary slides over. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 538 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025 A band of light rain is stretching across the Coastal Bend early this morning, along the MVFR ceilings impacting CRP/ALI/VCT. Only expecting these MVFR conditions to last a couple hours if that, before all rain activity moves east and skies begin to clear with daylight. VFR conditions prevail by 15Z across South Texas, with light variable winds through the day, becoming predominately out of the south to southwest tonight. South to southwesterly winds increasing dewpoints, ahead of an approaching cold front and mostly clear skies to allow for radiational cooling, will promote patchy to areas of fog overnight, dense across parts of the Coastal Plains. Confidence is medium to high with LIFR vsbys and cigs developing over ALI/CRP/VCT near the end of the forecast, after 09Z. Model guidance shows a 50-70% chance for visibilities less than 1 SM from 09-12Z. && .MARINE... Issued at 1200 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025 A gentle to moderate breeze continues through the weekend, with the wind direction varying. A few showers will remain possible today followed by dry conditions on Sunday as another frontal boundary moves through. These dry conditions will then persist through next week. Winds are forecast to strengthen to a strong to near gale breeze Sunday night into Monday likely requiring another Advisory. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1200 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025 Elevated fire weather conditions are not expected today with a light onshore flow and relative humidity values above 30%. A cold front will move through the region on Sunday with minimum relative humidity values dipping below 30% both Sunday and Monday, however due to low ERC and winds, confidence is low for any elevated fire weather conditions. Onshore flow resumes again on Tuesday, with moisture increasing across the region and limiting our fire weather concerns. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 73 60 81 47 / 20 0 0 0 Victoria 72 55 78 40 / 10 0 0 0 Laredo 77 59 82 47 / 10 0 0 0 Alice 74 57 82 44 / 20 0 0 0 Rockport 69 61 77 47 / 20 0 0 0 Cotulla 76 54 81 42 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 74 59 83 46 / 20 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 70 64 77 51 / 20 0 0 0 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...ANM/88 AVIATION...EMF/94