Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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962
FXUS64 KCRP 131102
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
602 AM CDT Sat Sep 13 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 601 AM CDT Sat Sep 13 2025

- Increasing risk of minor coastal flooding beginning today
  through next week

- Lower shower and thunderstorm chances this weekend, increasing
  through the week with the best chances Tuesday and Wednesday

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1215 AM CDT Sat Sep 13 2025

Somewhat drier conditions can be expected through this weekend as
moisture decreases in the region in response to the aforementioned
ridge progressing east. Chances will return beginning early next
week as we embark on a persisting pattern with shortwaves tracking
through the region. As onshore flow returns to the region so will
the moisture allowing for a low to medium (25-50%) chance for
showers and thunderstorms each day.

We will also continue to monitor the potential for minor coastal
flooding due to a persisting southeasterly fetch during high tide
periods. P-ETSS was indicating seas will be around 2 ft MSL
beginning today and continue through next week. This setup in the
past has led to wave run up at the beaches, so we will definitely
keep an eye on this.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 601 AM CDT Sat Sep 13 2025

VFR conditions are expected for the majority of this TAF cycle.
Winds will become gusty this afternoon across all sites with winds
weakening to light and variable levels once again tonight.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1215 AM CDT Sat Sep 13 2025

Expect east to southeasterly moderate breeze conditions during
the day and gentle breeze conditions during the overnight periods
through the middle of next week. There will be low chances for
showers and thunderstorms through the remainder of the weekend, though
this will increase to a low to medium chance (20-50%) beginning
Monday. Seas will generally range from 3 to 5 feet.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    91  76  92  76 /  10   0  10  10
Victoria          95  70  94  70 /   0   0  10   0
Laredo            97  75  99  74 /  20   0  10   0
Alice             95  72  95  71 /  10   0  10   0
Rockport          91  78  91  78 /   0   0  20  20
Cotulla           96  73  97  72 /  10   0  10   0
Kingsville        93  73  93  73 /  20   0  10  10
Navy Corpus       89  81  89  81 /  10  10  20  30

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$


DISCUSSION...NP/92
AVIATION...JCP/84