115
FNUS28 KWNS 092141
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0439 PM CDT Thu Oct 09 2025

Valid 111200Z - 171200Z

...Days 3-4/Saturday-Sunday...
An upper-level trough will move through the western U.S. over the
weekend. A corresponding deepening lee surface trough across the
central/northern High Plains will promote stronger southerly flow
across the Great Plains states Saturday and Sunday. The northward
transport of an initially dry air mass amid increasingly dry fuels
should increase the fire weather threat across portions of TX/OK and
the Upper Midwest Day 3/Saturday, with lingering dry and breezy
conditions persisting across north-central TX/central OK Day
4/Sunday. 40 percent probability of critical fire weather conditions
were added for Saturday across the eastern portions of the Dakotas
and western MN.

...Days 5-8/Monday-Thursday
A cold front sweeping across the northern Plains and Upper Midwest
in the Days 4-5/Sunday-Monday time frame should bring some
precipitation to the region, temporarily mitigating fire weather
concerns. An upper-level troughing pattern across the West could
minimize fire weather threats across the region with cooler
temperatures, cloud cover and precipitation. Potential lee trough
development across the Plains states will likely sustain elevated
southerly flow and above normal temperatures across the southern
Plains midweek, but magnitude of boundary layer moisture remains
uncertain, precluding introduction of critical fire weather
probabilities at for Day 7-8/Wednesday-Thursday.

..Williams.. 10/09/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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