482
FXUS63 KDDC 011632
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1132 AM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Cooler temperatures today

- A warming trend starting on Sunday and lasting through next week

- No great opportunities for precipitation for at least the next 7-
10 days

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 211 AM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025


07z upper air analysis shows a 541 dm low in northeast Iowa with a
longwave trough extending through the central and southern plains.
At the surface the leading edge of colder air is moving into
northern and central Kansas with 1025 mb high centered in Nebraska
keeping the winds light.

Overall today should have mainly tranquil weather as the surface
high will be centered in Knasas by late this afternoon and this will
bring the colder air across much of central and eastern Kansas. With
the transition of the trough to the ridge bringing in NVA by late
afternoon we should also see clouds diminish through the day and
bring sunny skies.  Coldest highs will be in central Kansas where
low 50s are expected and highs will be closer to 60 degrees along
the Colorado border.

Sunday as the ridge builds into the central plains we should see
boundary layer winds switch to the west to southwest bringing warmer
air with the downsloping effect and with plenty of sun highs should
warm into the 70s.  A fast moving trough in the northern plains will
bring another cold front through western Kansas but this front will
not have as cold of air behind it and highs will only fall back into
the 60s.

Long term ensemble trends keep the upper air pattern generally in a
ridging to zonal flow which will continue the dry and mild weather
pattern through the work week.  Ensembles continue to have low
probabilities of any rainfall for the next 7 days.  The upper air
pattern does hint at a trough towards next weekend but so far that
should just bring another dry cold front.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 502 AM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025

VFR conditions are expected at all terminals through the period.
Subtle ridging continues to build over western Kansas. This will
lead to mostly clear skies and largely light and variable winds.
Around 5Z, winds will strengthen to around 10 KTs from the
south.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Tatro
AVIATION...KBJ