549
FXUS63 KDDC 041157
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
557 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry weather is forecast for the next week.

- Warmer weather is on the way for Friday and Saturday with
  highs in the 50s.

- A weak cold front will yield a brief cooldown for Sunday
  before warm air pushes back into western Kansas early next
  week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 310 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

Cold high pressure will slowly shift off to the east today, with
south winds returning. Any morning cloudiness is forecast to
clear out by late morning into early afternoon, allowing
temperatures to reach into the upper 30s to near 40. With
subsiding winds this evening and mostly clear skies, expect
temperatures to cool into the high teens and lower 20s by early
Friday morning.

The upper level pattern is expected to change by Friday to
northwest flow with embedded upper level disturbances, along
with mean upper level troughing over the Great Lakes. This is a
very dry pattern for western Kansas, with any mid level moisture
drying out as it descends the Rockies. Temperatures will warm
into the upper 40s to 50s for Friday and Saturday given sunshine
and the lack of arctic air. An upper level disturbance will
pass across the plains Saturday night, helping to push a cold
front through Kansas. This will result in highs falling back
into the upper 30s and 40s for Sunday. Downslope warming will
allow highs to warm back into the 50s for Monday and 50s/60s for
Tuesday. The ensemble means of the GEPS and ENS have no
precipitation over the next week and measurable precipitation
probabilities are close to 0%; and this makes sense given the
lack of any significant upper level trough development over the
southwestern United States.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 552 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

Low level moisture was lingering this morning, with patchy IFR
CIGS. Upslope flow was weakening and winds will shift to the
southwest at 10 to 13 kts today with daytime heating. This will
result in rising CIGS and a scouring out of the clouds between
mid morning and early afternoon. With the loss of daytime
heating the southwest winds will decrease to 5 kts after sunset.


&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Finch
AVIATION...Finch