861
FXUS63 KDLH 020608
AFDDLH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Duluth MN
1208 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A mix of very light snow and flurries today and tomorrow.

- The next chance for widespread light snow (up to 2 inches)
  is Tuesday night into Wednesday.

- Expect blustery northwest winds and very cold temperatures
  mid-week.

- Widespread below zero low temperatures are likely Wednesday
  night into Thursday morning.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1243 PM CST Mon Dec 1 2025

Mostly cloudy conditions across the Northland. A weak
disturbance moving into the area from the west will keep the
cloud cover persistent causing flurries, but no significant
measurable snow is expected. Temperatures will remain quite
chilly, with highs only reaching the mid to upper teens. Tuesday
looks generally quiet during the day, with a small warming
trend to the low 20s, but clouds will increase as the next
weather system approaches.

The next notable weather maker is a quick-moving system
arriving Tuesday night and continuing into Wednesday. This is
expected to bring our best chance for accumulating snow this
week, with most areas likely seeing a dusting to an inch or two
across our region. Areas along the Wisconsin South Shore of Lake
Superior have the potential for slightly higher totals due to
the lake`s influence enhancing the snowfall. The total snowfall
accumulation is not expected to be significant because this
system isn`t carrying a lot of moisture. Following this system,
cold air will move in quickly on Wednesday, making conditions
blustery with northwest wind gusts potentially reaching 20 to 25
miles per hour. This will lead to very cold wind chills near
-25 F, so we may have to issue some Cold Weather Advisories.

The rest of the work week and into the next weekend will
feature a consistently cold pattern, with temperatures near or
below average for early December. An active upper-level flow
will allow several small disturbances to pass through the
Northland on northwest flow, bringing periodic chances for light
snow through the week. However, there is some uncertainty about
the exact timing and track of these features later in the week,
so details remain fuzzy, but no major snow impacts are
currently expected. We will continue to monitor the potential
for a slightly more organized, but fairly moisture starved,
system next weekend which could bring a better chance for snow,
but for now, the focus is on the light snow mid-week and the
prolonged period of arctic cold. No southern stream systems are
expected which will limit moisture for any systems that do pass
through.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1208 PM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

MVFR to IFR ceilings will prevail through much of the period as
warm air advection brings low stratus and snow showers, followed
by a cold front later this afternoon and evening with another
round of snow showers. There may be some brief improvements in
ceilings later today with some scattering possible. Visibilities
in snow showers will likely be MVFR or lower, but these
reductions will likely be fairly brief given the shower nature
of the activity. Snow characteristic will be light given the
lack of moisture and well below freezing temperatures.

&&

.MARINE /FOR NEAR SHORE WATERS OF WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR/...
Issued at 905 PM CST Mon Dec 1 2025

Winds and waves will continue to diminish tonight. The Small
Craft Advisory was allowed to expire at 9 PM. Winds are expected
to increase again Tuesday afternoon and evening ahead of the
approaching weather system. Winds will remain southwesterly
initially and will veer northwesterly in the wake of a cold
front. Small Craft Advisories will likely be needed Tuesday
night and especially on Wednesday and Wednesday night when winds
shift northwest in the wake of a cold front, with speeds of 20
to 30 knots. Waves will build back up to 4 to 6 feet across east
of Grand Marais.

A clipper system will traverse the region Thursday night and
Friday and will bring a period of strong winds. Winds will
strengthen from the southwest as the system approaches and then
veer northwesterly behind a cold front Thursday night and
Friday. In the wake of the cold front, winds will strengthen
further. There is a 30-60% chance of gales to 35 knots over much
of the North Shore waters during that time.

For the open water discussion, refer to the NWS Marquette Area
Forecast Discussion at weather.gov/mqt.

&&

.DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Wolfe
AVIATION...BJH
MARINE...Huyck