Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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495
FNUS21 KWNS 271535
FWDDY1

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0934 AM CST Thu Nov 27 2025

Valid 271700Z - 281200Z

A slight expansion west and north was made to the Elevated area
based on the latest observations and high-resolution forecast
guidance. While a few locations in southern Georgia/north Florida
within the Elevated area saw recent (last 48 hours) rainfall of
0.35-0.75", these areas have KBDI values of 600-700+ with ongoing
long-term severe to exceptional drought. Northwest winds gusts of
10-25 mph are already occurring with RH generally 35-50% in/near the
Elevated area. Locally elevated conditions remain likely farther
north/west into central Georgia, southeast Alabama, and the Florida
Panhandle as well.

..Nauslar.. 11/27/2025

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1251 AM CST Thu Nov 27 2025/

...Synopsis...
A large-scale upper-level trough positioned over the eastern CONUS
will shift east throughout the day. At the surface, a dry
post-frontal airmass will continue to overspread much of the
Southeast, accompanied by breezy northwest winds.

...Portions of Southeast Georgia and North-Central Florida...
The aforementioned dry/breezy conditions will lead to Elevated
fire-weather concerns for the region, from late morning through late
afternoon. Temperatures will warm into the upper 50s and lower 60s
F, with dew point temperatures in the low 20s F, resulting in RH
values into the low 20s and upper teens. Meanwhile, sustained winds
of 10-15 mph, gusting to 20-25 mph, will occur amid receptive fuels,
characterized by relatively high ERC values and limited recent
precipitation. Therefore, Elevated highlights have been maintained
for the region, with some expansion into the Florida Panhandle and
southern Georgia based on the latest wind/RH/fuel guidance.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$