Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
391 FNUS21 KWNS 021629 FWDDY1 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1028 AM CST Tue Dec 02 2025 Valid 021700Z - 031200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook. Increasing westerly flow aloft south of an advancing mid-level trough along with a deepening lee surface trough along the central/southern High Plains will support a favorable environment for dry, downslope flow across east-central NM and the TX Panhandle through the afternoon. West-southwest winds of 15-20 mph combined with relative humidity as low as 15% are expected. However, the overall fuelscape remains unreceptive to significant wildfire spread although pockets of drier fuels/cured grasses could align with the dry and breezy conditions to support locally elevated fire weather concerns. ..Williams.. 12/02/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0139 AM CST Tue Dec 02 2025/ ...Synopsis... Within the base of a gradually amplifying large-scale trough over the West, a belt of moderate midlevel westerly flow will overspread the southern Rockies and adjacent High Plains today. In response, a lee cyclone will deepen in the vicinity of northeastern NM. These factors will contribute to dry/breezy downslope flow from eastern NM into the TX Panhandle and South Plains during the afternoon. While a corridor of 20 mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds are expected amid 15-20 percent RH, unreceptive fuels should limit most fire-weather concerns. East of the lee cyclone, dry/breezy return flow will develop across northwest TX into western OK. Similarly, marginal fuels should limit the wildfire risk. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$