Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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004
FNUS22 KWNS 180710
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0110 AM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

Valid 191200Z - 201200Z

...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

...Synopsis...
The potential for critical fire weather conditions appears limited
for Wednesday. Latest guidance shows reasonably strong agreement in
the eastward translation of the southern CA upper low into the Four
Corners region over the next 48 hours. Modest lee
troughing/cyclogenesis is expected as this occurs, but the low-level
wind response is expected to be fairly muted with around 10-15 mph
sustained winds across parts of the southern High Plains.
Additionally, scattered to widespread mid/high-level cloud cover is
anticipated, which will modulate diurnal heating and most likely
limit RH reductions to the 25-35% range. Recent ensemble guidance
hints that some mid-afternoon clearing is possible across far
northeast NM into the OK/TX Panhandles, which may be sufficient for
a pocket of sub-25% RH and winds between 15-20 mph. However, this
potential appears too limited/localized to warrant risk highlights
at this time.

..Moore.. 11/18/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$