Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
004 FNUS22 KWNS 180710 FWDDY2 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0110 AM CST Tue Nov 18 2025 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... The potential for critical fire weather conditions appears limited for Wednesday. Latest guidance shows reasonably strong agreement in the eastward translation of the southern CA upper low into the Four Corners region over the next 48 hours. Modest lee troughing/cyclogenesis is expected as this occurs, but the low-level wind response is expected to be fairly muted with around 10-15 mph sustained winds across parts of the southern High Plains. Additionally, scattered to widespread mid/high-level cloud cover is anticipated, which will modulate diurnal heating and most likely limit RH reductions to the 25-35% range. Recent ensemble guidance hints that some mid-afternoon clearing is possible across far northeast NM into the OK/TX Panhandles, which may be sufficient for a pocket of sub-25% RH and winds between 15-20 mph. However, this potential appears too limited/localized to warrant risk highlights at this time. ..Moore.. 11/18/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$