Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
990 FNUS22 KWNS 101959 FWDDY2 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 PM CST Mon Nov 10 2025 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...Central High Plains... Modest northwesterly flow over the central/southern Rockies and leeward surface troughing across the central/southern Plains is expected Tuesday. This should result in a dry, downslope flow into the central High Plains, promoting a steady erosion of a shallow, low-level temperature inversion through the late morning hours Tuesday. West to northwest winds of 15 mph (locally 20 mph) across eastern CO, western KS and adjacent plains along the central and southern Rockies, amid 15-20% relative humidity and dry/cured fuels will support an elevated fire weather risk Tuesday. ...Southwest Florida... Dry, post-frontal flow perpendicular to the FL Peninsula should bring a few hours of elevated fire weather conditions to portions of the southwest FL Tuesday. Northerly winds of up to 15 mph and low relative humidity of 20-30% will present an elevated fire weather concern Tuesday where these conditions align with dry fuels. Elevated fire weather highlights were added to southwest portions of the FL Peninsula. ...Southern Plains... A tightening surface pressure gradient should evolve through Tuesday between high pressure over the Southeast and surface troughing across the southern High Plains into the Upper Midwest. Southwest winds of 15-20 mph amid relative humidity of 15-25% across central and northwest TX along with portions of southern OK, will promote elevated fire weather concerns amid dry fuels Tuesday afternoon. ..Williams.. 11/10/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1254 AM CST Mon Nov 10 2025/ ...Synopsis... Within a belt of moderate west-northwesterly flow aloft across the central/southern Rockies, an embedded/subtle midlevel impulse will move into the southern Plains during the day. This will reinforce surface troughing and tighten the pressure gradient across the southern Plains -- where a dry antecedent air mass will be in place. This pressure gradient, combined with boundary-layer mixing into enhanced low-level southwesterly flow, will favor 15-20 mph sustained south-southwesterly surface winds (westerly over eastern NM into west TX behind the surface trough) amid 15-20 percent RH. Given areas of dry/receptive fuels, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$