263
ACUS03 KWNS 170726
SWODY3
SPC AC 170725

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0225 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024

Valid 191200Z - 201200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe storms are not currently forecast for Wednesday. Portions of
the Texas Coast will need to be monitored closely for potential
tropical weather influences going forward.

...Synopsis and Discussion...
A strong upper ridge will exist over the northeastern states on
Wednesday, providing hot weather. This ridge will deflect an upper
trough over MN early northward into Ontario and toward Hudson Bay,
then eastward into Quebec through Thursday morning.

At the surface, a residual front will extend roughly from the upper
Great Lakes into the central Plains, providing weak low-level lift.
While bouts of rain and thunderstorms are expected throughout the
day along this zone, weak shear and warming temperatures aloft
preclude any low severe probabilities this far out in time.

To the south, an area of disturbed weather currently has a 60%
probability of cyclone formation in the next couple days per NHC
guidance, and this could potentially enhance low-level shear and
potentially affect the TX Coast. If this occurs, low tornado
probabilities may be needed in this area in later outlooks.

..Jewell.. 06/17/2024

$$