530
FXUS62 KFFC 290902
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
402 AM EST Sat Nov 29 2025


...Morning Area Forecast Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 326 AM EST Sat Nov 29 2025

 - Dry conditions will persist Today with precip moving in
   Tonight.

 - Scattered to widespread rain is expected Sunday through
   Tuesday, with the possibility (30-40% chance) of a light wintry
   mix in the mountains Saturday night into early Sunday morning.

 - Another chance of precipitation expected by day 7.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 326 AM EST Sat Nov 29 2025

Current satellite loop shows mostly high clouds streaming across
the area this morning. We will continue to see mostly high clouds
across the area today with dry and cool conditions continuing
through tonight. The over all flow becomes more East to
Southeasterly today so will see slightly increased moisture
levels. Relative Humidity levels do dip to near fire danger
critical thresholds but not expecting the duration to be long
enough to warrant a statement. Will definitely need to monitor
this today but this should be that last day we have to be
concerned with these extremely dry conditions for a while.

The high pressure ridge that has kept us dry for the past few
days is currently centered over the Mid Atlantic states. This
ridge will push off the eastern seaboard later this afternoon
into the evening hours creating a weak wedge setup across NE GA
tonight. At the same time the developing closed low center over
OK/KS moves E to NE today becoming centered over IA/IL by 00z Sun.
While the better dynamics, deeper moisture, and better
instability indices move NE with the low center, the associated
cold front pushes through the Mid to Lower MS river valley Today.
It begins to push decent moisture into NW GA just before sunrise
Sun so we will start to see some light showers between 06z-12z
Sun. This front begins to bring deeper moisture into the area Sun
morning/afternoon as it taps into Gulf moisture from the tail end
of the front Sat night. This front moves slowly SE through the
state Sun bringing mainly showers to the area. Instabilities stay
weak through the day Sun so not expecting any thunderstorms. Most
locations will see 0.25" to 0.75"of precipitation through Sunday
evening. Portions of North GA could see some mixed wintery
precipitation Sat night/Sun morning at the onset with temps near
freezing. Any accumulations would be light and only minimally
impactful (if at all). Any impacts should be relegated to
elevations of 2500 feet or higher.

High temps today will be mainly in the 50s to lower 60s with some
40s across the NE GA maintains. Lows tonight dip back down into
the 30s and 40s with near freezing temps expected across extreme
N GA. Highs Sun will climb into the 50s across North GA to near 70
across central portions of the state.


&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 326 AM EST Sat Nov 29 2025

As the extended period begins on Sunday night, a weakening cold
front will be exiting the forecast area to the south and east.
Scattered light showers and drizzle will be ongoing on the back side
of the front, with chances diminishing to around 10% or less after
midnight. Low temperatures early Monday morning are expected to drop
into the mid 20s to low 30s to the north of I-85 where cold
advection and northwesterly flow will have been ongoing for the
longest amount of time. Wind chills will further drop into the teens
to mid 20s in these locations. Elsewhere, lows will range from the
mid 30s along the I-85 corridor to the mid 40s in east-central
Georgia. Over the course of the day on Monday, surface high pressure
will move across the Ohio Valley region and towards New England.
During the afternoon, A CAD wedge will develop along the
Appalachians and into north Georgia, with low level winds shifting
to northeasterly. High temperatures on Monday will largely be
limited to the upper 40s and low 50s across north Georgia, and rise
into the mid 50s to low 60s in central Georgia to the south of the
wedge.

Any break from precipitation on early Monday should be short-lived.
A shortwave trough will swing through the Great Plains towards the
middle Mississippi River Valley region on Monday, amplifying
southwesterly upper level flow over the Southeast and pumping
moisture into the region, which will increase dewpoints and
precipitable water values. By Monday afternoon, a mid-level
disturbance and developing surface low will be positioned near the
west Louisiana coast. As this disturbance traverses the
southwesterly flow aloft, it will phase with the aforementioned
shortwave, with the surface low intensifying and becoming more
organized. Showers will increase from west to east across the area
ahead of the low starting Monday afternoon, becoming widespread
overnight through Tuesday morning as the low advances into and
through the CWA.

Rainfall totals associated with this system are fairly consistent
with previous forecasts, and are anticipated to range from 1-2
inches across the area, with the highest totals roughly along the I-
85 corridor. Recent dry conditions should largely inhibit flash
flooding concerns, though nuisance ponding of water could occur in
low-lying areas and (unique to this time of the year) where ample
leaf litter is clogging drainage systems. As such, there is a
Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for excessive rainfall per WPC through
7 AM Tuesday. Temperatures at the ridgetops could drop as low as the
mid 30s early Tuesday morning, so it cannot be ruled out that
freezing rain could briefly mix with rain showers in the pre-dawn
hours at the highest elevations of far northeast Georgia. However,
measurable ice accretion is not forecast at this time. With high
temperatures being limited to the upper 40s to low 50s in north
Georgia within the wedge and under overcast skies, convective
activity is not expected in these areas. Temperatures rising into
the low to mid 60s in east-central Georgia and increased low-level
shear ahead of a cold front trailing from the low. Severe weather is
not anticipated with any isolated storms that are able to develop.

Rain will begin to diminish from west to east on Tuesday afternoon
and evening as the low and trailing cold front move away towards the
Mid-Atlantic coast. Low temperatures on Wednesday are forecast to be
in the upper 20s to low 30s in north Georgia and mid to upper 30s in
central Georgia. Ridging over the east CONUS and surface high
pressure moving across the Southeast will promote clearing skies and
benign conditions on Wednesday. Behind the cold front, highs on
Wednesday will be about 5-10 degrees below daily normals, in the low
to mid 50s across the area. The shallow ridge will quickly move away
to the east on Wednesday night into Thursday, with southwesterly
flow setting up across the Southeast once again through the end of
the period. Another disturbance moving from the far northwest Gulf
through the Southeast will bring the next round of precipitation
Thursday night into Friday, though there is much uncertainty on the
development and evolution of this feature at this time.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1244 AM EST Sat Nov 29 2025

Mostly clear skies with no precipitation or restrictions to VSBYs
today. Winds are mostly out of the NW this morning but they will
turn to the East by sunrise then to the SE this afternoon. Wind
speeds are light this morning but will see speeds increase into
the 8-12kt range with gust to 20kt this afternoon. Wind speeds
will diminish to 10kt or less by sunset. Will see increased clouds
after 06z Sun with MVFR ceilings moving into the TAF sites after
08z Sun. Precip starts to push into NW GA early Sun morning and
may see some SHRA at the ATL area TAF sites just before sunrise
Sun.

//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...
Confidence high on all elements.

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          49  35  51  37 /   0  10  40  20
Atlanta         51  39  53  36 /   0  10  50  20
Blairsville     44  31  48  25 /   0  40  70  10
Cartersville    51  38  50  28 /   0  20  70  10
Columbus        58  43  66  43 /   0  10  30  20
Gainesville     48  36  49  35 /   0  20  60  20
Macon           57  39  66  43 /   0  10  20  20
Rome            55  41  54  31 /   0  30  70  10
Peachtree City  53  37  57  34 /   0  10  50  20
Vidalia         59  41  70  48 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....SM
AVIATION...01