046
FXUS62 KFFC 030545
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1245 AM EST Mon Nov 3 2025



...New 06Z Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1230 AM EST Mon Nov 3 2025

  - Shower coverage will peak this evening in north Georgia, with
    a couple of isolated thunderstorms also possible, before
    ending from west to east after midnight

  - Rainfall totals through Monday morning will primarily remain
    less than a quarter to half inch.

  - Gradual warming trend through the week into the 70s for highs
    across north and central Georgia.

  - Trending towards the possibility of some rain over the
    upcoming weekend, though uncertainty remains high.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Monday)
Issued at 1230 AM EST Mon Nov 3 2025

An upper low currently situated over central Tennessee will
continue to progress quickly southeastward through tonight,
bringing increasing shower coverage as it does so. The bulk of the
more widespread shower activity will push across north Georgia
from late evening through around midnight with coverage quickly
diminishing from west to east by the predawn hours Monday. Lapse
rates will be sufficient that an isolated embedded thunderstorm or
two will be possible through the evening, but primarily shower
activity is expected. Rainfall totals will remain largely a
quarter inch or less, though locally higher totals in the realm of
a half inch are possible.

Skies will clear fairly quickly Monday morning as high pressure
builds eastward into the area with mostly sunny skies through the
day. With widespread clouds persisting through sunrise, low
temperatures should be held primarily into the 40s with a few
upper 30s, keeping frost concerns at bay. Despite the sun, high
temperatures on Monday will largely run a few degrees below
normal, mainly in the 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday morning through next Saturday)
Issued at 1230 AM EST Mon Nov 3 2025

System bringing rain to parts of the forecast area today and
tonight will have completely exited the southeast by Tuesday. In
its wake will be a surface high that slides right over the region
for a day or two us an upper level anticyclonic rossby wave break
washes over the area. Temperatures will warm as the air mass
modifies. Expect daily highs in the 70s through the end of the
week outside the mountains, warmer in central Georgia than north
Georgia, with a few 80s creeping into south central Georgia by the
end of the week.

Looking aloft again, a quick clipper type system will move across
the northeastern US on Wednesday but will remain too far north to
have any impacts to the CWA. Moisture return looks limited and
the front attached to the system is expected to mostly stall and
wash out before reaching the area. Friday into Saturday is
starting to look a bit more interesting. DProg/Dt trends within
the ensemble guidance show a clear move towards a more amplified
trough within the southern stream of a bifurcated jet over the
eastern CONUS. In simple terms, models are showing increased
probability of seeing a system that could bring rainfall into
north and central Georgia. Still plenty of uncertainty with this
in both timing and strength, so we`ll need to wait and see how
model trends continue to play out over the coming days, but know
that the coming weekend could have at least a wet time period in
it. This also may bring increases in surface moisture that bring
overnight lows up into the 50s from the expected 40s across much
the rest of the week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1230 AM EST Mon Nov 3 2025

The forecast challenge overnight will be somewhat localized
IFR/LIFR CIGs and VIS. These low clouds and reduced VIS have
already developed at/near the metro Atlanta terminals. There is
more uncertainty regarding if AHN, MCN, and CSG see development of
similar conditions. None of these sites currently have low CIGs
or low VIS in the TAFs, but this could change if said conditions
development further or spread. The sky will clear by 14z-16z and
winds will be NW to due N at 5-10 kts during the day.

//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...
Low to medium confidence on evolution/coverage of CIGs and VIS.
High confidence on all other elements.

Martin

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          40  68  40  71 /   0   0   0   0
Atlanta         44  68  45  73 /   0   0   0   0
Blairsville     35  66  39  67 /   0   0   0   0
Cartersville    39  70  42  73 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus        43  73  43  76 /   0   0   0   0
Gainesville     42  67  43  70 /   0   0   0   0
Macon           41  72  40  75 /   0   0   0   0
Rome            41  72  43  75 /   0   0   0   0
Peachtree City  41  70  40  74 /   0   0   0   0
Vidalia         43  73  42  78 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RW
LONG TERM....Lusk
AVIATION...Martin