304
FXUS62 KFFC 100553
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1253 AM EST Mon Nov 10 2025



...New 06Z Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1249 AM EST Mon Nov 10 2025

 - Freeze Warning is in effect for early Monday morning for
   portions of western and northern Georgia.

 - A hard freeze is expected Monday night into Tuesday morning
   across most all of north and central Georgia. A Freeze Watch is
   in effect.

 - Light snow accumulations in the north Georgia mountains could
   lead to minor travel impacts between 2 PM and 10 PM, especially
   for elevations above 2000 ft.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Monday)
Issued at 229 PM EST Sun Nov 9 2025

An active short term period is in store as the frontal system
continues to push southward across the forecast area. Starting off
with this afternoon/evening with the severe threat. Areas of
southeastern central Georgia have had ample time for heating today
with dewpoints in the low 60s and temps in the upper 70s to low
80s, allowing for there to be enough instability to result in
thunderstorm development. CAMs are showing clusters of showers
over this area with isolated strong to severe thunderstorms.
Nothing has really changed when it comes to the main threats being
wind gusts up to 60 mph. With lapse rates overall not impressive,
hail likely won`t be too much of a concern but can`t rule out
small hail.

Pushing into the overnight, the cold air begins pushing into the
area with some moisture associated with the sfc low as it tracks
closer. As a result flurries/snow showers are possible in the
higher elevations where the temps are more likely to line up with
the moisture areas. Getting into tomorrow, CAMs have been a bit
more bullish of flurry potential as the sfc low approaches just
shy of north Georgia which could enhance the ability for flurries
to reach further than the higher elevations. There still remains
uncertainty on if enough moisture can be squeezed out to see
anything other than in the mountains but soundings have been
leaning towards more moisture than this time yesterday over far
north Georgia. Don`t be surprised if you see very light flurries
reaching past the north Georgia mountains, but overall still no
impacts are to be expected.

The bigger story remains the coldest air of the season pushing
into the area. A freeze warning has been issued for overnight
tonight into tomorrow morning for the northern portions of the
area where temps will reach into the upper 20s to low 30s.
Daytime highs tomorrow top out at 20-25 degrees below normal in
the mid 30s to low 40s over much of the area (mountains don`t look
to get above freezing). Pushing into Monday night into Tuesday
morning a freeze watch has been issued for the entirety of north
and central Georgia where temps are expected to reach into the
20-27 degree range with teens possible in the mountains. This is
considered a hard freeze and thus will kill of any unprotected
vegetation, ending the growing season. Did also keep with the
trend of the past couple of shifts with blending in higher winds
as the pressure gradient doesn`t look to let up through Monday
night. Winds will be borderline wind advisory criteria but should
stay just shy of 35mph. Gusts from 25-30mph are expected across
the area with of course higher in the mountains. This along with
temperatures will result in apparent Ts in the teens across much
of the area (single digits possible in the mountains).

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday morning through next Saturday)
Issued at 229 PM EST Sun Nov 9 2025

Dry air filters in behind Monday`s front, and we`ll slowly see a
steady rise in temperatures. Especially in afternoon high temps
which are expected to fight their way back up into the low 70s by
the end of the work week. Overnight lows are expected to remain
close to freezing until Wednesday before steadily rising as the
upper level flow becomes more zonal and we get a slight increase in
moisture.

Other than that, the weather becomes pretty benign again. Models are
conflicted about the timing and possibility of a front that may
bring another shot of rain and a few thunderstorms next weekend, but
expect dry and pleasant conditions through the week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1249 AM EST Mon Nov 10 2025

VFR through TAF period. Primary impact is winds, which will remain
elevated until 00Z Tuesday, where they will begin to slowly
decrease. Until then, they will remain 10-15 kts with gusts that
could approach 30 kts. So passing cloud cover this afternoon and
evening as another front approaches. Very small probability of
seeing a few very light snowflakes fly at metro TAF sites with
this, but these would be non-accumulating and not impactful.


//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...
High all elements.

Lusk

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          26  48  34  63 /  10   0   0   0
Atlanta         27  49  36  64 /   0   0   0   0
Blairsville     20  43  28  55 /  30   0   0   0
Cartersville    23  49  33  63 /  10   0   0   0
Columbus        26  53  32  68 /   0   0   0   0
Gainesville     27  46  35  60 /  10   0   0   0
Macon           26  52  32  67 /   0   0   0   0
Rome            26  52  35  66 /  10   0   0   0
Peachtree City  23  50  33  65 /   0   0   0   0
Vidalia         28  52  32  68 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Freeze Warning until 10 AM EST this morning for GAZ001>009-
011>016-019>025-030>037-041>049-052>057-066>068.

Freeze Watch from this evening through Tuesday morning for
GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Hernandez
LONG TERM....Vaughn
AVIATION...Lusk