713
FXUS63 KFGF 022142
AFDFGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
342 PM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Gusty north winds and patchy blowing snow could lead to
  visibility reductions late this evening and overnight, with
  the highest chances in the southern Red River Valley.

- Intervals of below average temperatures through the rest of
  the week, along with snow chances from Thursday into the
  weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 342 PM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

...Synopsis...

A cold front continues to move southward out of Manitoba this
afternoon, bringing light snow and gusty north winds into the
region. Look for the potential for blowing snow in areas that have
deeper snow pack, especially areas south of Highway 200. Cold high
pressure settles into the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest on
Wednesday, with high temps only expected to reach the single digits.
Lows Wednesday night into Thursday morning are likely to fall well
below zero for most areas, with the coldest spots being
collocated with the deeper snow pack in southeast North Dakota
and west central Minnesota. Heading into Thursday afternoon, a
weak shortwave brings a chance of light snow to the area along
the baroclinic zone. Probability for greater than 1 inch is
rather low, around 40 percent in northwest Minnesota, with lower
probs elsewhere. Several additional troughs move through the
area late Friday onward into the weekend and early next week.
Confidence is low in snowfall potential at this time; however,
there is good consensus supporting an active pattern through at
least the middle of next week.

...Gusty Winds and Patchy Blowing Snow Tonight...

North winds prevail following today`s cold front. The combination of
these winds, along with light snow, and a favorable wind direction,
could bring periods of low visibility overnight. Upstream
observations in Pembina County, as well as webcams in southern
Manitoba, show visibility as low as 1-2 miles this afternoon over a
relatively low snow pack. As the front passes through the southern
Red River Valley this evening, over the deeper snow pack, we could
see sharply reduced visibility, especially in open areas.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1125 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

MVFR conditions prevail at KDVL, with VFR ceilings elsewhere at
midday. Look for ceilings to fall through the afternoon and
evening, with most sites seeing MVFR to IFR ceilings late this
evening and through the overnight. Light snow is expected this
afternoon and evening, with a wind shift from southwest to
northwest late during the evening as a cold front moves through
the area. Winds could gust up to 25 knots at times. Visibility
could be briefly reduced during periods of light to moderate
snow. Conditions improve during the early morning hours on
Wednesday, with at least partial clearing possible.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Lynch
AVIATION...Lynch