Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
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099 FXUS65 KFGZ 011101 AFDFGZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ 401 AM MST Sat Nov 1 2025 .SYNOPSIS...Dry and warm conditions with generally light winds will continue through the next week. && .DISCUSSION...High pressure remains in control of our weather through the weekend with generally light winds and temperatures around 5-15 degrees above normal. A weak low will move into southern California late Sunday, then cross our region on Monday. With so much dry air in place, we won`t see anything much more than an increase in cloud cover and a slight dip in temperatures. Additionally, the winds will swing around to the south to southwest and increase to around 10-15 mph. The flow remains pretty zonal heading into midweek and with a couple of weak shortwaves moving through the mid-level flow. Generally warm temperatures with south through west winds are expected to continue. By Wednesday, we start to see a trough push down along the Pacific NW coast. This trough will move through the Great Basin and into the Rockies Wednesday through Friday. The base of the trough may clip our northern zones but again we lack moisture and other than an increase in clouds as the trough passes through and a slight increase in winds as they shift to the west to northwest, we won`t even realize that it crossed the region. Mainly zonal flow will then continue heading into next weekend. && .AVIATION...Saturday 01/12Z through Sunday 02/12Z...VFR conditions forecast through the period. Winds will be variable in direction generally 7 kts or less. OUTLOOK...Sunday 02/12Z through Tuesday 04/12Z...VFR conditions expected through the period. Light and variable winds forecast on Sunday, becoming S-SW 5-15 kts on Monday. && .FIRE WEATHER...Saturday and Sunday...Daytime highs 5 to 15 degrees above normal forecast through the weekend, with mostly dry conditions. Look for minimum RH values between 10-20%, and overnight recoveries between 30-65%. Light and variable winds expected each day. Monday through Wednesday...Above normal daytime highs expected to continue through the week. Minimum RH values forecast between 10- 25%, and overnight recoveries generally between 40-70%. Look for south through southwest winds 5-15 mph each afternoon, becoming light and variable during the overnight periods. && .FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None. && $$ PUBLIC...Meola AVIATION...Konieczny FIRE WEATHER...Konieczny For Northern Arizona weather information visit weather.gov/flagstaff