Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
818 FXUS64 KFWD 190529 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1229 AM CDT Sat Jul 19 2025 ...New Short Term, Long Term, Aviation... .KEY MESSAGES... - Hot temperatures will prevail through next week with highs in the upper 90s to 100 each afternoon. - There is a low chance for isolated rain showers in parts of Central Texas on Saturday afternoon. && .SHORT TERM... /NEW/ /Overnight through Sunday/ A slow moving remnant tropical disturbance continues to slowly spin across southeast Texas this evening mainly resulting in some increased high cloud cover. Otherwise, it will remain quiet overnight with lows in the low/mid 70s and a continued south wind. On Saturday, this little disturbance will continue to slowly move westward with only some very low chances for an isolated shower across Central TX. The main impact will continue to be some increased cloud cover which will help hold temperatures down a few degrees. Highs areawide should range from the lower 90s in Central TX to the upper 90s farther north and west. Modest afternoon mixing will continue to result in dewpoints falling to the low/mid 60s which will keep heat indices right around 100 degrees. Not much change is expected on Sunday with the mid level disturbance positioned a little farther west. Cloud cover should thin out a bit across Central TX and we`ll see temperatures climb back into the mid 90s. Dunn && .LONG TERM... /NEW/ /Sunday Night through Saturday/ The upcoming week will feature hot and dry conditions typical for this time of year as an expansive ridge over the mid-Mississippi Valley begins to spread westward a bit. Afternoon convection will be displaced well to our west through the week around the periphery of the ridge with little chance for rainfall in North Texas. A weak wave will likely approach southeast TX late in the week from the Gulf which may result in some increased rain chances across our southeast counties, but we`ll continue to monitor this potential and leave the forecast dry for now. Temperatures will steadily climb toward 100 degrees each afternoon through the week. Dunn && .AVIATION... /NEW/ /6Z TAFs/ VFR will prevail through the period with southerly flow 10 to 15 kt. Scattered to broken high cloud cover associated with a weak disturbance will continue through Saturday before thinning out a bit. Otherwise, no significant aviation concerns are expected through the period. Dunn && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 77 96 79 97 77 / 0 0 0 0 0 Waco 76 91 76 95 75 / 0 0 0 0 0 Paris 74 94 76 96 76 / 0 5 5 0 0 Denton 74 97 77 97 77 / 0 0 0 0 0 McKinney 75 96 77 97 77 / 0 0 0 0 0 Dallas 77 95 79 97 77 / 0 0 0 0 0 Terrell 75 93 76 96 75 / 0 5 0 0 0 Corsicana 76 91 77 96 75 / 5 5 5 0 0 Temple 74 92 75 95 74 / 0 5 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 72 97 75 97 75 / 0 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$