Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
425 FXUS64 KFWD 051122 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 522 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Clouds and cool weather continue today. Areas of fog are expected tonight into Saturday. - Near to below normal temperatures will continue through Monday, with above normal temperatures expected the rest of next week. && .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Saturday) Issued at 1151 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025 Satellite imagery shows a steady stream of high clouds across Texas tonight with thicker low clouds beneath. This tap into Pacific moisture is thanks to strong southwest flow aloft ahead of an elongated trough axis. At the surface, a weak southerly flow is trying to become established late tonight. As it does, winds above the surface will become more southwesterly allowing the lower cloud cover to erode a bit. While forcing for ascent is only modest at best, areas of light precipitation are ongoing across parts of Central and South Texas. The bulk of any light rain will remain out of our area but we can`t rule out a few sprinkles or very light rain across our Central TX counties through morning. The rest of the day Friday should feature mostly cloudy skies with temperatures ranging from the lower 50s across our east to the lower 60s in the west where clouds will thin through the day. Later Friday night, an influx of lower 40s dewpoints will spread north of I-20 into relatively cooler air thanks to strengthening southerly flow. This moisture surge will likely lead to the rapid development of low clouds and fog, particularly north of I-20 and across our eastern counties. As a trailing shortwave swings through the Southern Plains, drier air will work into North Texas from the west early Saturday and should start to erode some of this cloud cover, however, there may be a substantial temperature gradient from west to east depending on how long the clouds linger. Highs may range from the mid 50s in the east to the lower 70s out west. Dunn && .LONG TERM... (Saturday night through next Thursday) Issued at 1151 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025 After Saturday, the weather pattern looks to remain fairly benign for this time of year with surface high pressure in place across the eastern CONUS through Tuesday and mid level ridging building across the Southwest U.S. This should keep the Southern Plains beneath dry northwest flow aloft with little chance for precipitation and steadily warming temperatures through the middle of the week. Dunn && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 518 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025 Low clouds continue to erode as drier low level air spreads in from the west, however extensive mid and high cloud cover will persist through the rest of the day today. Some reduced visibility is noted this morning in outlying areas but most airports are above 5SM at this time. VFR will prevail through most of the day today with southerly winds around 5-10 kt. An influx of moisture into the cool night tonight will lead to areas of fog after midnight. We`ll have MVFR vis after 9Z at all airports although there is potential for some dense fog with IFR possible through mid Saturday morning. Dunn && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 54 41 62 43 / 0 0 0 0 Waco 54 42 66 46 / 10 0 0 0 Paris 49 35 56 41 / 0 0 0 0 Denton 54 36 60 38 / 0 0 0 0 McKinney 52 38 60 40 / 0 0 0 0 Dallas 54 41 60 44 / 0 0 0 0 Terrell 52 39 62 42 / 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 54 41 66 47 / 10 0 0 0 Temple 55 41 71 45 / 10 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 60 37 66 40 / 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$