Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
434 FXUS64 KFWD 020539 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1239 AM CDT Thu Oct 2 2025 ...New Short Term, Long Term, Aviation... .KEY MESSAGES... - Quiet but warm weather continues into next week. Rain chances remain 10% or less. && .SHORT TERM... /NEW/ /Overnight through Friday Night/ Clear skies, light winds, and relatively warm conditions will continue through Friday as mid level ridging remains in place across the Southern Plains. A weak disturbance will dig southward around the eastern periphery of the ridge on Friday and meander across the northwest Gulf and coastal Louisiana into the weekend. While this system likely won`t have any major impacts to our weather, we`ll start to see an uptick in moisture across our southeast counties and perhaps an isolated shower or two. Rain chances will remain less than 10% through Friday night. Dunn && .LONG TERM... /NEW/ /Saturday through Wednesday/ The upper disturbance across the northern Gulf will gradually shift southwestward through the beginning of the week while troughing becomes more pronounced across the western CONUS. This will allow a better fetch of Gulf moisture northward into North Texas through Tuesday. While large scale forcing for ascent will be negligible, we`ll still see an increase in scattered afternoon showers mainly across far east and southeast Texas and we`ll include some low PoPs during peak heating. Otherwise, rain chances will generally remain low to near zero through the first half of next week while temperatures continue to top out in the upper 80s and lower 90s. There is some indication that a weak front may try to push southward into the region beyond Wednesday and could be accompanied by a slight increase in rain chances. Until then, warm and dry conditions will persist. Dunn && .AVIATION... /NEW/ /6Z TAFs/ VFR will prevail through the period with east winds generally 5 to 7 kt. No significant aviation concerns are expected through Thursday night. Dunn && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 68 91 70 90 67 / 0 0 0 0 0 Waco 65 91 67 90 65 / 0 0 0 0 0 Paris 64 90 65 88 61 / 0 0 0 0 0 Denton 63 90 65 90 62 / 5 5 0 0 0 McKinney 64 91 67 90 63 / 0 0 0 0 0 Dallas 69 93 70 92 67 / 0 0 0 0 0 Terrell 63 91 65 90 62 / 0 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 66 93 68 90 65 / 0 0 0 0 0 Temple 64 92 65 90 63 / 0 0 0 5 0 Mineral Wells 63 93 64 92 63 / 0 5 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$