Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
762 FXUS64 KFWD 031118 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 518 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - A brief warm-up continues until another strong cold front arrives late today, bringing cold temperatures and rain chances back to the region for the latter half of the work week. - Near-normal temperatures and mostly sunny conditions will return over the weekend. && .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Thursday) Issued at 1152 PM CST Tue Dec 2 2025 Quiet but chilly weather is expected the remainder of the night. Temperatures will fall into the 30s across the region, and a light freeze is expected for portions of East Texas with lows in the low 30s. Southerly winds will strengthen later this morning as a surface low and its attendant cold front approach from the north/northwest. As a result, moisture will be pulled northward into North and Central Texas throughout the day. The cold front is slated to arrive in our northwestern zones late this afternoon, continuing through North Texas this evening, and Central Texas overnight. Rain chances will increase across Central Texas late this evening in advance of the front`s arrival. The lightning potential will be low, but isolated thunderstorms will be possible across our southern zones with this activity. The arrival of a shortwave trough late Wednesday night into Thursday morning will result in strengthening isentropic ascent overnight. This will allow additional showers to blossom throughout the night and expand northward into North Texas heading into early Thursday morning. Some drizzle will be possible across western North Texas/the Big Country early Thursday morning, but latest hi-res guidance continues to trend warmer. As a result, any mention of freezing drizzle has been removed from the forecast. If temperatures are able to dip to near or just below freezing in any areas, this could result in very localized occurrences of freezing drizzle. However, any drizzle is expected to transition to rain around sunrise Thursday morning, and no impacts would be expected. Scattered rain showers will continue across the region throughout the day Thursday, with cold temperatures in the 40s to low 50s and a brisk north wind around 10-20 mph. && .LONG TERM... (Thursday night through next Tuesday) Issued at 1152 PM CST Tue Dec 2 2025 Rain chances will begin to taper off Thursday night, but isolated to scattered showers will linger across Central and East Texas through the overnight hours. Another chilly night is expected, with temperatures falling into the upper 20s to 30s across the region. Skies should see some clearing on Friday, with any lingering rain chances in Central Texas expected to end during the afternoon. A cool day can be expected, with afternoon highs in the low 50s to low 60s. Temperatures will continue to moderate as we head into the weekend, with highs in the 50s/60s expected both Saturday and Sunday. A weak cold front is slated to arrive on Sunday, which will move through the area rain-free. Temperatures will only be a few degrees cooler behind the front as we head into early next week. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 516 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025 VFR conditions and southerly winds around 10 knots will prevail today. Winds will increase to 10-15 knots for a few hours this morning (15-19Z). A cold front will move through the area this evening, bringing a northerly wind shift behind the front. Wind speeds will be around 5-7 knots immediately following FROPA, but will increase to 10-15 knots after 06Z. MVFR/IFR ceilings are expected to develop across the region this evening and continue much of the day Thursday. In addition to the ceilings, MVFR visibilities have been introduced to the KACT TAF late tonight into early Thursday morning. Scattered showers along with patchy drizzle are expected to develop early Thursday morning, and VCSH has been introduced to the DFW extended TAF. Some scattered showers will be possible before then across Central Texas, but this activity is expected to remain east of the KACT terminal, with rain chances increasing after 12Z. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 62 40 45 36 / 0 10 30 10 Waco 64 44 48 38 / 10 20 40 20 Paris 56 39 47 33 / 0 10 30 20 Denton 61 36 44 31 / 0 10 20 10 McKinney 59 38 45 34 / 0 10 30 10 Dallas 62 41 48 35 / 0 10 30 10 Terrell 60 43 48 35 / 0 20 40 20 Corsicana 62 46 50 40 / 0 40 40 20 Temple 67 44 50 38 / 10 30 40 20 Mineral Wells 67 37 47 32 / 0 10 30 10 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Barnes LONG TERM....Barnes AVIATION...Barnes