Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Glasgow, MT
Issued by NWS Glasgow, MT
231 FXUS65 KGGW 201130 AFDGGW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Glasgow MT 430 AM MST Thu Nov 20 2025 .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGES: - Dense fog has formed along the Milk and Missouri River Valleys and will stay through mid-morning. - Mild temperatures continue through Monday. - Colder air moves in Monday night that is expected to linger through Thanksgiving. WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Dense river valley fog has developed this morning along the Milk and Missouri River Valleys and should dissipate around 8-10 AM or after sun-up. This will likely be impacting Highway 2 periodically from Wolf Point to Saco. After that, the upper level pattern over the western states will generally keep Montana under a ridge into the weekend. This maintains above normal temperatures and dry weather through the weekend. Models and ensembles are increasingly pointing toward a pattern change early next week with much colder temperatures. There are wide variations in precipitation potential in the models and ensembles at this time for next week. FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: No deviations from NBM were observed. There is HIGH confidence of temperatures dropping to near and below normal by Tuesday. There is MODERATE confidence of precipitation occurring next week, with low confidence on accumulations. GAH && .AVIATION... LAST UPDATE: 1115Z FLIGHT CAT RANGE: Airport Shutdown - VFR. DISCUSSION: Dense but shallow fog (1/4 mi or less) has develop and snaked up the Missouri and Milk River Valleys and is affecting KOLF and KGGW. Rough timing for fog looks to exit around 15-16Z. A FEW mid level clouds may be possible through the rest of the cycle. WIND: Light and variable or south through the cycle. EQUIPMENT: KOLF`s ASOS telecomm circuit is down and can not be dialed into. Therefore, AMD NOT SKED for this TAF until repairs can be made. GAH && .GGW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM MST this morning for Central and Southern Valley-Western Roosevelt. && $$ weather.gov/glasgow