115
FXUS63 KGID 022342
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
542 PM CST Sun Nov 2 2025

...AVIATION UPDATE...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Above normal temperatures through the week. Tuesday is
  expected to be the warmest day for most of the area.

- High confidence in dry conditions through the workweek, with
  only a very low chance (10%) for rain Saturday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 259 PM CST Sun Nov 2 2025

Temperatures have exceeded expectations today, especially over
western parts of the area that have been aided by a more
westerly component to winds.

A cold front currently over northern Nebraska will push through
central Nebraska and northern Kansas this evening. This will
usher in northerly winds tonight. These winds will then decrease
Monday morning as surface high pressure moves into the area.

Monday will be cooler in the post-frontal airmass. That said,
high temperatures should still reach the upper 50s and low
60s...which is near to slightly above our normal temperatures
for early November.

Tuesday will warm up significantly as westerly flow sets up
aloft and at the surface. The entire area is favored to reach
the 70s. Another weak cold front then brings a slight cooldown
to the area for Wednesday (similar to Monday).

Dry conditions and above normal temperatures continue
Thursday/Friday, although it will trend a bit more breezy than
earlier in the week. Ensembles only hint at a low-end chance for
rain Saturday as we transition to more northwesterly flow aloft.
The latest NBM maintains <10% PoPs for our entire area.

Looking at next week, global ensembles favor a brief cooldown
next Sunday/Monday (Nov 9/10th). This is followed by more
above-normal temperatures and mostly dry conditions through the
middle of the month.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 529 PM CST Sun Nov 2 2025

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

High confidence VFR conditions expected through the period with
some increasing mid/high level cloud cover anticipated to
increase across the area towards daybreak Monday.

This evening...expect a cold front to cross the terminals
around 03/02Z...bringing a shift in winds along with the
potential for a few hours of marginal LLWS. Behind this
front...winds should settle around 10 KTS out of the north by
around 03/07Z...and eventually become light and variable for
much of the day Monday as an area of surface high pressure
rapidly fills in across the area during the daytime hours. At
the same time, model time heights and sounding data indicate
there will be an increasing amount of mid/high level clouds
through the day, with CIGs remaining AOB 12KFT.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Mangels
AVIATION...SR