502
FXUS63 KGID 250527
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1127 PM CST Mon Nov 24 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Very windy on Tuesday. Sustained northwesterly winds of 25 to
  40 MPH are expected with gusts over 55 MPH possible mainly
  north of Highway 6. A high wind watch is now in effect for
  parts of the area Tuesday.

- Progressively cooler temperatures are expected through the end
  of the week, with high temperatures possibly not climbing
  above freezing by Sunday (and possibly for several days
  thereafter). The normal high temperature for late November is
  in the mid 40s.

- Accumulating snow is possible Friday-Monday, but confidence is
  low in specific details and a significant snowfall appears
  unlikely.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 343 PM CST Mon Nov 24 2025

Lots of clouds lingered across the area today, rotating around
the area of low pressure crossing southern Kansas this
afternoon. Expect a period of at least partial clearing across
the area overnight as this system tracks further east and a cold
front approaches from the northwest. This clearing, combined
with light winds to start the night, could allow for the
redevelopment of some patchy fog late this evening and into the
overnight hours, but should be quickly scoured and pushed east
as winds start to pick up pre-dawn. The latest few runs of the
HRRR indicate some patchy dense fog mainly east of Highway 281
overnight, but did not buy into this completely (partly due to
slight westerly component of winds) and only included some
patchy fog mention in the official forecast that should be
completely gone by daybreak.

As the aforementioned cold front works its way across the tri-
cities area around daybreak, expect winds to start to crank up
across the region, with sustained winds of 25 MPH to 40 MPH
expected by midday. 18Z HRRR continues to indicate gusts of
40-50 KTS across areas generally along and north of Highway 6
during the late morning through afternoon hours, and as a
result, would not be surprised to see several gusts over 55 MPH
by the end of the day. As a result, went ahead and issued a high
wind watch for this area from 6 AM to 6 PM. In addition to the
strong winds, expect decent cold air advection through the day,
and for temperatures tomorrow afternoon to struggle to climb
into the 40s, or about 10 to possibly 15 degrees below this
afternoons highs, which combined with the strong winds, will
make it feel quite blustery across the area.

Behind this cold front, expect a general pattern shift for
several days as progressive northwesterly flow will continue
across the center of the country through the end of the week.
This will result in a generally cool weather pattern, with
temperatures remaining well below normal for an extended period
of time. Could also see multiple, quick passing, upper level
disturbances that bring small chances of snow to the region as
early as Friday afternoon, with the better signals coming late
in the weekend. The current forecast suggests the potential for
some light accumulations through Sunday, with a better chance
for a potentially more significant system over the middle of
next week as an upper level low lifts out of the southwest and
into the plains. Plenty of model divergence over this period,
but in general, expect colder temps and small chances for light
snow Friday afternoon through next Monday.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1121 PM CST Mon Nov 24 2025

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

There will be a brief period here at the start of this TAF
period, set up between clearing right along the backside of
departing cloud cover but ahead of the more westerly winds,
where the potential remains for lowered visibilities/ceilings at
both terminal sites. Have a pessimistic TEMPO group with
sub-1000ft ceilings and sub-1SM visibility in the forecast. Once
the more westerly winds building...expecting VFR conditions to
return. A cold front will be pushing through the area later
tonight...ushering in gusty NW winds in its wake. With the
initial push of the front, models continue to show the potential
for LLWS...which should wane by mid-late morning. The NW winds
will not be waning...but will be strengthening...with gusts
around 45-50 MPH possible by late morning and continuing to be
possible the rest of the day. Some diminishment of speeds
expected for the evening, but still looking at gusts around 30
MPH through the end of the period.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...High Wind Watch from 6 AM CST Tuesday through Tuesday
     afternoon for NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Rossi
AVIATION...ADP