971
FXUS63 KGID 291911
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
111 PM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Gusty winds will continue through the evening hours with
  patchy blowing snow...flurries this afternoon...and cold
  temperatures/wind chills tonight.

- Next round of light snow moves across the area late Sunday
  night through midday Monday with 1 to 2" type accumulations.

- Dry weather the rest of the week with temperatures on the
  cooler side but maybe some moderation toward next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 110 PM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

The area is living through the after effects of the most recent
system which dropped 1 to 2" of snow for most locations on top
of a light glaze for some areas. The main really short term
issue the winds gusting to 45-50 mph causing some blowing snow
and then some flurries that developed in the instability of the
day. NO additional accumulation is expected, but visibilities
may be down to 2 miles at times the next few hours.

Obviously its cold out there with wind chills near 10 above.
The wind won`t really drop off...at least higher end gusts...
till about 8-11 pm for most areas and then remain slightly
gusty overnight. That will push wind chills below zero to make
it feel like the coldest night of the season. Not much warm up
tomorrow as temperatures can only climb into the lower and
middle 20s with clouds spilling into the area. Windspeeds will
be much lower as surface high pressure ridging moves across the
area and turns winds to the south by evening.

The next precipitation event...all light snow...remains on
track for overnight Sunday until about Noon Monday. Models
remains consistent in general timing and snow amounts (light)
but do vary a bit in place at this point. Speaking of amounts,
high snow ratios of 15 or 18 to 1 will promote a light fluffy
(not stuffy) snow which could add up 2" in some areas pretty
easy. As of now, those higher amounts are forecast across north
central Kansas and far southern Nebraska with amounts tapering
off to the north to less than an inch, but this could waver
north or south a bit with future forecasts. One key positive is
winds will be fairly light so little to no blowing snow is
expected. Also of note is the timing, centered on the Monday
morning commute. The snow is light but will likely slow things
down getting to-and-fro during the morning hours Monday.

Clearing will move in late the day Monday and with light winds,
good radiational cooling will push Monday lows into the single
digits for many locations.

After Monday, the rest of the forecast is dry, though there are
some hints at very light precipitation potential (trace type
events) Friday and Saturday thanks to the region still impacted
by cyclonic flow aloft. However, those events are so light and
so far out, neither are in the forecast at this point. That also
spells colder than normal temperatures most of the week though
with some moderation by the end of the week closer to normal.
Wednesday will be coldest day with a frontal passage and a
period of slightly stronger northwest winds.

Looking just beyond this forecast cycle, ensembles and weekly models
suggest the potential for a more substantial warm up beginning
around the 10th to 13th. If it materializes,the warm-up would
push mid-month temperatures above normal for a time. However
looking beyond that, the end of December shows a colder than
normal temperature trend. Overall, it appears this December
will be colder than December`s in recent years, be a bit more
"up-and-down" temperature wise.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1128 AM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

MVFR ceilings have settled in the KGRI/KEAR this afternoon in
the wake of early morning snow. The main story is the wind,
which will gust up to 35KTS much of the afternoon from the
north/northwest. That could result in some brief periods of
blowing snow in the KGRI area but nothing substantial.

Aside from that, clouds will hold in the MVFR category this
afternoon though we have managed a few more breaks than
previously expected. Essentially, skies will start to clear
further this evening and overnight with VFR conditions
overnight. Winds will also drop off after midnight and
under 12kts by dawn Sunday as they start to shift more
to a westerly direction.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...NOAA/NWS/Moritz
AVIATION...NOAA/NWS/Moritz