


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE
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418 FXUS63 KGID 170541 AFDGID Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Hastings NE 1241 AM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - A cold front will spread scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms (20-50% chance) from west to east across the area during the afternoon through nighttime hours. This activity should mostly dissipate by daybreak Friday...if not sooner. - Cooler, but still seasonably warm temperatures anticipated behind the initial cold front Friday with a secondary push of cold air bringing below normal temperatures and gusty winds (up to around 40 MPH) to the area Saturday. - As winds diminish and temperatures drop Saturday night, could see the development of some frost to start the day Sunday, with dry weather and generally seasonable temperatures then anticipated for most of next week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 230 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025 A well defined line of showers with some embedded thunderstorms can be see clipping western portions of the area this afternoon. This line is associated with a cold front that should track from west to east across the region later this afternoon through tonight. With minimal instability to work with, do not anticipate any strong/severe storms locally and expect overall diminishing activity as it tracks east into a more stable airmass...likely by the time it reaches the highway 281 corridor. As a result...the best overall chance for any precipitation continues to exist primarily west of Highway 183...with diminishing chances later in the evening/overnight as you look further east. Ahead of the front this afternoon, seeing gusty southerly winds occasionally gusting 40 MPH+...which should begin to diminish some during the early evening hours as the sun goes down and the pressure gradient diminishes just ahead of the front. While the activity along the front looks fairly robust this afternoon, we are nearing peak heating and maximum instability, and fully expect this activity to begin to fall apart this evening. Models are keying in on the weakening of the line later today, and likely some areas...mainly east of highway 281...may only see some sprinkles or possibly no rainfall at all. Behind the front...cooler...yet seasonably warm temperatures are anticipated to filter in across the local area Friday along with noticably quieter winds...making for an overall nice finish to the work week. A second colder front will then make a push across the area from the north on Saturday, resulting in a potential surge in northerly winds and an uptick in cloud cover to start the weekend. While not overly cold, as winds diminish Saturday night and high pressure moves in from the north, could see a bit of frost development across areas mainly west of Highway 281 Sunday morning. While there is still some time for changes, temperatures are mainly in the mid-30s across the tri-cities area, with the better chance for thicker frost and potentially a freeze expected across western/northern portions of the area early Sunday morning. Beyond Sunday, temperatures moderate across the region to near seasonal norms (lower 60s) and dry weather is forecast through the end of next week. This is in response to dry west to northwesterly flow persisting aloft for much of the week with the next upper level disturbance expected to slide south of the local area late in the week. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/... Issued at 1236 AM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025 For KGRI/KEAR Airports: VFR conditions expected through TAF period. Winds become northwesterly behind a cold frontal passage this morning. LLWS will continue at KGRI through the cold frontal passage. Northwest winds around 10kts during the day on Friday. Winds become light around sunset and shift to the west-southwest. BKN-SCT mid level clouds are expected through sunrise, with skies clearing during the day on Friday. && .GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...None. KS...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Rossi AVIATION...Davis