121
FXUS63 KGID 110530
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1130 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Light rain/snow possible (15-20%) this evening/night for areas
  northeast of the Tri-Cities. Little snowfall accumulation
  (T-0.5") expected.

- Temperatures will rebound to near 60 across the area Thursday,
  which looks like the warmest day of the period.

- A cold front will bring below normal temperatures back to the
  area over the upcoming weekend along with a very small chance
  for snow across areas mainly north of Highway 92 Friday
  evening/night.

- A rapid return to seasonably warm temperatures expected by
  Monday afternoon and then likely continuing through the end
  of next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 245 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

Winds have subsided nicely across the region this afternoon as
an area of surface high pressure has transitioned into the
central portion of the area. This area of high pressure is
expected to push east tonight as an upper level disturbance and
surface trough move in from the northwest. This trough will
push a warm front across the area overnight, resulting in a
quick rebound in temperatures Thursday afternoon. Ahead of the
warm front, however, there will be a brief window for some very
light precip across our north tonight, and have some very light
QPF in the forecast for areas northeast of the Nebraska Tri-
Cities this evening. Given the weak forcing relatively dry
airmass near the surface, this is a low probability event, and
little to no snowfall accumulation (T-0.5") is anticipated
across northeastern portions of the area.

While significant thin/high level cloud cover will likely trail
the aforementioned disturbance during the daytime hours
Thursday, this should have a minimal impact on afternoon high
temperatures tomorrow, which once again are expected to climb
into the lower 60s across the majority of the area. This warm-up
will be short lived, however, as the next upper level
disturbance and cold front push across the area Friday. While
there is still some spread in model guidance for temps Friday
afternoon and there correspondingly will likely be a
significant gradient in temperatures across the local area, the
cold air is expected to reach the tri-cities before peak
heating, and this should hold temperatures in the 30s across the
central and eastern portions of the area, while portions of
Kansas and western areas may still top out in the 40s to near
50.

As the cold front then spreads southwest across the entire area
Friday night, could see some light snow develop around daybreak
Saturday, but again this looks like a low qpf event that will
be focused across northern/northeastern portions of the area.
The main impact will therefore likely be the much cooler
temperatures and significant cloud cover (especially Saturday)
anticipated over the weekend.

As the main upper level low then swings further east by Monday,
expect the cold air in place to retreat to the east, and for a
rapid rebound in temperatures to start next week as weak ridging
aloft if realized and temperatures likely return to the 50s for
much of the week.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1126 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

VFR conditions expected through TAF period. Southeast winds
shift to the southwest this morning, becoming westerly during
the afternoon, gusting 15-20kts. Winds shift to the northwest
behind a cold front Thursday evening. SCT-BKN ceilings of
050-100 are expected overnight, with SCT high level clouds
possible during the day. Late in the TAF period Mid-level clouds
build back over the area.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Rossi
AVIATION...Davis