Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE
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900 FXUS63 KGID 042137 AFDGID Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Hastings NE 337 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Chance (20-50%) for light snow accumulation on Saturday...mainly north and east of Grand Island. - Otherwise mostly dry into next week. Next Wednesday/Thursday would be the next opportunity for precipitation. - Brief shot of cold for Sunday, followed by above-normal temperatures early next week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 336 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025 Lingering cloud cover kept temperatures a bit on the cooler side today, although western areas have risen into the 40s as skies clear. Tonight, temperatures are expected to dip to around 20 degrees...pretty close to climatological normals for early December. On Friday, the passage of a surface trough will switch winds to the northwest. Mid and high-level cloud cover is expected to increase through the day, but temperatures still are anticipated to reach the 40s for most of the area. On Saturday, a weak shortwave moving through the northwesterly flow pattern will bring a chance for precipitation (mainly snow) to parts of the area. Global ensembles continue to indicate that the best potential for measurable snow will be to our east. Additionally, most of the snow would be falling during the daytime with temperatures in the 30s...not a great recipe for meaningful snow accumulation. As such, the probability for 1"+ has decreased to only 10-15% in areas north and east of Grand Island. A light dusting is the most likely outcome at this point, and many areas will miss out entirely. Colder air will rush into the area behind this shortwave, resulting in noticably cooler day for Sunday. High temperatures are expected to remain below freezing for most of the area. Fortunately (or unfortunately if you are a winter-lover), this cooldown won`t last long. The deep trough over the eastern CONUS will shift eastward, and rising heights aloft will favor a warmup for Monday/Tuesday. Ensembles currently favor Tuesday to be the warmest day (upper 40s and 50s for most). Additional northwesterly-flow shortwaves are expected to push through the are for the middle to end of next week, but confidence in timing is quite low. This could bring rain/snow to parts of the area, but anything significant/impactful looks pretty unlikely. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/... Issued at 1133 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025 For KGRI/KEAR Airports: The stratus that developed this morning has been a bit more "pesky" than expected, but improving flight conditions are still expected this afternoon...likely returning to VFR by 20-22Z. Southwest winds turn to the northwest on Friday. && .GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...None. KS...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Mangels AVIATION...Mangels