Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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760
FNUS53 KGRR 281906
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
306 PM EDT Tue May 28 2024

...Scattered Showers and Thunderstorms into Tonight...

.DISCUSSION...A mid to upper level low pressure system will
track through the area tonight and away from the region on
Wednesday.  The scattered showers and thunderstorms will persist
into tonight then conditions will gradually dry out for Wednesday.
High pressure builds over area for Wednesday night into Thursday.

MIZ037>039-043>045-290815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
306 PM EDT Tue May 28 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 PM. Slight chance of
                    rain showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    after 2 AM until 5 AM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....45-50.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2000-2500 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....160-290 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.16 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) until 2 PM, then
                    sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........38-43 percent near Lake Michigan and 27-32
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......24 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 15
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......North winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5500-6000 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....690-870 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Patchy frost after 3 AM.
Min temperature.....36-41.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds around 7 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 600-1100 ft AGL.
Mixing height.......Inland, 2000-2500 ft AGL decreasing to 0-500 ft
                    AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40-260 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....63-68 near Lake Michigan and around 71 Inland.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer near Lake Michigan and 4
                    degrees warmer Inland.
Min humidity........40-45 percent near Lake Michigan and 25-30
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 5
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3200-3700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6300-6800 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....530-540 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-290815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
306 PM EDT Tue May 28 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 11 PM, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 PM. Chance of rain
                    showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after 2
                    AM until 5 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....44-49.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....140-220 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.22 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........28-33 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6300-6800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Patchy frost after 3 AM.
Min temperature.....35-40.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL decreasing to 0-500 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....30-260 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........25-30 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6600-7100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....570-630 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-290815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
306 PM EDT Tue May 28 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....150-200 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.43 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) until 5 PM, then
                    sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5000-5500 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....560-750 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....42-47.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........81-86 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40-150 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........31-36 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5900-6400 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....460-480 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-290815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
306 PM EDT Tue May 28 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 11 PM, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....110 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.23 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........29-34 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6000-6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....640-930 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....40-45.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........77-82 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 6 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....30-130 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........24-29 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6500-7000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....530-560 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-290815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
306 PM EDT Tue May 28 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 11 PM, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    likely until 2 AM. Chance of thunderstorms.
                    Chance of rain showers after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-110 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.08-0.44 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    11 AM until 5 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5400-5900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....680-860 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....40-45.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........78-83 percent.
   24 hr trend......31 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....30-110 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........26-31 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6200-6700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....620-690 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds
5 to 9 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. South winds 5 to
9 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds
5 to 9 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds 5 to
9 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in
the lower 80s.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 60s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower
80s.

$$