Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
403 FXUS64 KHGX 142325 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 525 PM CST Fri Nov 14 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Warm conditions will prevail for the next week. ` - Periods of late night and early morning fog possible on a daily basis. - Low chances of rain re-enter the forecast early next week, followed by some better chances during the second half of the work week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1220 PM CST Fri Nov 14 2025 Unseasonably warm weather will continue through at least the start of next week with temperatures running around 10-15 degrees above normal as high pressure remains overhead and southerly flow persists across the region. Afternoon high temperatures will be in the low to mid 80s today and Saturday, and then climb a few degrees into the mid to upper 80s Sunday through at least Tuesday. Overnight low temperatures will be be in the low to mid-60s tonight and Saturday night, then also see a bump in temperatures beginning Sunday night into the mid-60s to low 70s. Patchy, dense at times, fog will be possible nightly through the weekend during the late night to early morning hours. Rain chances are near zero through Monday with rain chances trending lower now on Tuesday compared to the previous forecasts. May still see some isolated showers Tuesday afternoon during peak heating, but at this point rain chances don`t really return in earnest until the second half of the week. A large upper-level low will be swinging through the Desert Southwest on Wednesday with some shortwave troughs passing through Texas ahead of it. These shortwaves may bring some scattered showers or thunderstorms to the area as early as Wednesday morning, but more likely Wednesday afternoon/evening. There has been quite a bit of uncertainty on the progression of the larger upper-level low in regard to the timing, location, and strength as it moves through Texas, so there may be changes to the forecast in the coming days. As of right now, this system is expected to pass through the Southern Plains on Thursday with the associated cold front passing through SE Texas sometime between Thursday afternoon into Friday morning. Showers and thunderstorms will likely accompany the frontal passage, but details on the strength or the storms or rainfall amounts is too uncertain to speak of in detail at this time. Fowler && .AVIATION... (00Z TAF Issuance) Issued at 518 PM CST Fri Nov 14 2025 Looking like mainly a forecast of persistence. VFR conditions into late evening will give way to some patchy fog development overnight. We could see some brief 4-6sm vsbys around IAH in the late night & early morning hours, but the lower visibilities should generally be situated outside the metro area and the typical fog-prone terminals. Fog burs off 13-15z yielding to msunny conditions and SSW winds 10-18kt for the remainder of the day Sat. 47 && .MARINE... Issued at 1220 PM CST Fri Nov 14 2025 Light to occasionally moderate onshore flow and low seas will prevail through the remainder of the week. There will be low potential of some patchy fog in the northern parts of the Bays during the late night to early morning hours tonight into Saturday, followed by slightly higher chances Sunday into early next week. Rain chances remain near zero through Tuesday of next week, but an approaching disturbance from the west will bring some isolated to scattered showers midweek. A cold front is expected to pass through the coastal waters during the second half of the week bringing a chance of showers and thunderstorms, and a northwesterly wind shift in its wake. Fowler && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... College Station (CLL) 60 84 61 86 / 0 0 0 0 Houston (IAH) 62 85 63 86 / 0 0 0 0 Galveston (GLS) 69 78 69 78 / 0 0 0 0 && .HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Fowler AVIATION...47 MARINE...Fowler