085
FXUS62 KJAX 111440
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
940 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit:
https:/www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

- Small Craft Advisory Offshore This Morning

- Inland Light Freeze & Widespread Frost Late Tonight/Early
  Friday

- Incoming Cold Weather this Weekend:
- Freeze and Hard Freeze Possible For Inland Areas Sunday
      Night and Monday Night
- Low Wind Chills, potentially reaching the low 20s

- Small Craft Advisory Late Sunday into Monday Night

&&

.UPDATE...

Wall-to-wall sunshine is helping us warm faster today, with
temps trending about 5-15 degrees warmer than this time
yesterday. Breezy winds at the coast will settle as high
pressure to the west slides east toward the forecast area. No
major updates to the forecast for today.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
A dry cold front will continue to pass through the area over the
early predawn hours this Morning. Behind the front, light to breezy
northwesterly winds will continue into the afternoon hours, ushering
in dry and cooler air from the northwest. Daytime highs in the mid
to upper 50s across SE GA and towards the I-10 corridor in NE FL,
while locations along and south of I-10 will be in the lower to mid
60s. High pressure builds and be centered overhead by Tonight. With
calm winds and clear skies, conditions will be prime for good
radiational cooling. Temperatures are expected to dip to or just
below freezing across inland SE GA and along the I-10 corridor west
of the JAX metro. As such the Freeze watch has been upgraded to a
Freeze Warning for these locations where we can expect a light
Freeze and widespread Frost to develop during the overnight hours
into Friday Morning. For locations south of the I-10 corridor and
coastal SE GA, Lows will be in the mid to upper 30s, while coastal
locations in NE FL will mainly be in the lower 40s. A Frost Advisory
is also in place for locations bordering the freeze warned locations
of NE FL and coastal SE GA.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/...
VFR will prevail through this TAF period. However, toward the end of
the period after about 06Z-08Z Friday, there are low chances of some
vsby problems around GNV and VQQ down to at least MVFR, but low
confidence for any mention in the TAF at this time. Otherwise, west
to northwest winds of about 7-11 kt will prevail today which will
become light/variable or calm after 00z Fri.

&&

.MARINE...


West to northwest winds will continue to strengthen Tonight as a dry
cold front moves across the area. Small Craft Advisory conditions
will persist over the local waters Tonight and continue until
Thursday morning. A high pressure center will build into the area
Thursday into Friday and then shift offshore by early Saturday ahead
of the next frontal boundary. This front will likely remain dry as
it crosses our local waters on Sunday night. Strong high pressure
building to the north of our region in the wake of this frontal
passage will result in strengthening northerly winds on Sunday night
that will shift to northeast on Monday. Small Craft Advisory
conditions are likely throughout our local waters from Sunday night
through Monday night.

Rip Currents: Moderate Risk of rip currents across the local beaches
this afternoon. Low Risk of rip currents by Friday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
     LOW DAYTIME DISPERSIONS ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL FL AND COASTAL
NORTHEAST FL LOCATIONS ON FRIDAY...



For today, winds become northwesterly behind the passage of a weak
cold front, bringing cooler temperatures and drier air across the
area.  Min RHs drop into the lower to mid 30% range for most
locations today and Friday. Fair to Good Dispersions today will
trend downward by the end of the week with Poor dispersions across
north central Florida and Fair dispersions across southeast Georgia
on Friday.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS: A light freeze possible for inland
southeast GA and the Suwannee Valley for Friday morning.  Patchy
fog possible inland areas late Friday night and again Saturday night.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  55  32  65  43 /   0   0   0   0
SSI  58  39  65  48 /   0   0   0   0
JAX  61  35  70  43 /   0   0   0   0
SGJ  63  40  70  48 /   0   0   0   0
GNV  64  35  71  44 /   0   0   0   0
OCF  65  36  72  44 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Freeze Warning from 4 AM to 8 AM EST Friday for FLZ021-023-024-
     030-120-220-322-422-522.
     Frost Advisory from 4 AM to 8 AM EST Friday for FLZ031-035-124-
     136-225-232-236-425.
GA...Freeze Warning from 4 AM to 8 AM EST Friday for GAZ132>136-149-
     151>153-162-163-165-250-264-350-364.
     Frost Advisory from 4 AM to 8 AM EST Friday for GAZ154-166.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EST this morning for AMZ470-
     472-474.

&&

$$