598
FXUS62 KJAX 071718
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1218 PM EST Fri Nov 7 2025

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit:
https://www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

- Isolated TStorms Possible Late Tonight through the Weekend

- Small Craft Advisory Likely Sunday Night through Tuesday. Gale
  Warnings Possible Monday Afternoon and Night

- Light Freeze Potential Early Tuesday & Wednesday Mornings. Widespread
  Frost Possible Late Tuesday Night and Early Wednesday Morning

- Elevated Fire Danger Monday and Tuesday

&&

.NEAR TERM...
Issued at 1217 PM EST Fri Nov 7 2025

It will be partly cloudy and dry this afternoon, with some
isolated showers and storms over the local waters. Tonight,
precipitation chances increase after midnight for inland southeast
Georgia as a front approaches from the northwest. With decent
moisture and calm winds overnight, another round of early morning
patchy fog is likely across northeast Florida and portions of
inland southeast Georgia. Highest chances for locally dense fog
will be near the I-75 corridor and north central Florida. Low
temperatures tonight will be in the upper 50s to low 60s.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Saturday through Sunday night)
Issued at 1217 PM EST Fri Nov 7 2025

Potential for early morning fog developments this weekend with a
relatively dry frontal passage pressing through the region on
Sunday, however the potential for embedded thunderstorms building
along with scattered showers cannot be ruled out at this time.
Inland southeast Georgia will have the highest probability for
convection on Sunday afternoon with conditions drying out
overnight. High daytime temperatures for the weekend will rise
into the lower to mid 80s with overnight low temperatures dropping
sharply down into the 40s and 50s on Sunday as cold air following
the frontal passage settles in over the forecast area.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through next Friday)
Issued at 1217 PM EST Fri Nov 7 2025

Gusty northwesterly winds will build over the region on Monday
following the frontal passage with high pressure conditions
dominating the weather pattern through the week with dry weather,
clearing skies, mild winds, and colder temperatures. Below normal
temperatures will be in place for the beginning of the week with
temps gradually warming to be closer to the seasonal average after
midweek.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1217 PM EST Fri Nov 7 2025

VFR conditions and light winds through the rest of the day. Inland
fog is likely late tonight into early Saturday morning, mainly
impacting GNV and VQQ, for now have MVFR visibilities in the
TAFs.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1217 PM EST Fri Nov 7 2025

Southwesterly winds will develop on Saturday ahead of a strong cold
front that will be entering the southeastern U.S.. Isolated showers
will be possible ahead of this front on Sunday afternoon and
evening. This strong front will cross our local waters during the
overnight and predawn hours on Monday, with westerly winds
strengthening after midnight and then shifting to northwesterly by
sunrise, with Small Craft Advisory conditions quickly overspreading
our local waters. Strong high pressure building into the
southeastern states on Monday will result in occasional Gale Force
wind gusts through Monday night. High pressure will shift eastward
and will become centered directly over our local waters by midweek,
allowing for winds and seas to gradually diminish.

Rip Currents: Onshore winds Saturday afternoon in the wake of
the inland moving Atlantic sea breeze may allow for a lower end
moderate risks at the northeast FL beaches. Low surf heights will
maintain a low overall risk at the southeast GA beaches through
the weekend. Gradually strengthening southwesterly winds on Sunday
will yield a low risk at all area beaches.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 207 AM EST Fri Nov 7 2025

Record High Temperatures This Weekend:

November 8:
KJAX: 85/2024
KCRG: 84/2020
KGNV: 89/2018
KAMG: 86/2000

November 9:
KJAX: 88/1986
KCRG: 85/2018
KGNV: 88/1986
KAMG: 87/1986

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  59  81  62  82 /  10  20  10  30
SSI  60  78  64  80 /   0  10  10  10
JAX  60  84  63  84 /   0  10   0  20
SGJ  62  83  65  83 /   0  10   0  10
GNV  59  84  64  84 /   0  10   0  20
OCF  61  83  65  83 /   0  10   0  20

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$