357
FXUS62 KKEY 111006
AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
506 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

-Drier conditions have become widespread across the forecast area.

-Northwest to north breezes will gradually slacken as we head into
 the end of the week. Late this weekend, winds will once again
 freshen as the next cold front pushes through the Keys.

-The next opportunity for showers is sometime over the Saturday to
 Sunday timeframe.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 506 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025
KBYX is finally experiencing some relief since it has been rain-
free all night. Though not shower related, Nighttime Microphysics
does depict mostly cloudy skies for the region. Across the island
chain temperatures cooled to the mid to upper 60s. Winds along the
Reef are 10 to 15 knots. For today, winds are expected to
slacken, and dry conditions will prevail as high pressure
dominates our present weather. Not much is to change over the next
few days, but as the high eventually goes into the western North
Atlantic, winds will go from north to northeast back to northeast
to east.

The next front is expected to move through the Keys Sunday night
into Monday morning and as a result breezes will become fresh to
strong. For Monday and Monday night, Small Craft headlines may be
required as winds are expected to reach those conditions. While
winds will peak Monday night behind the front, they will remain
elevated before gradually slackening later the work week. Prior
to this frontal passage, Saturday night and Sunday will experience
an uptick in rain chances. Once again dry conditions will return
after the front has made its way through.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 506 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025
No watches, warnings, or advisories are in effect for the Florida
Keys waters. From synopsis, as high pressure drifts eastward over
the next several days and eventually into the western North
Atlantic, winds will clock around to the north to northeast, then
eventually northeast to east. The next frontal boundary is progged
to push through the Florida Keys marine zones on Sunday night,
with fresh to strong northeasterly breezes expected in the wake of
the frontal passage.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 506 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025
VFR conditions are expected to prevail at the terminals through the
TAF period. While observed cloud bases have generally remained below
FL030, coverage has been largely SCT or less, and satellite imagery
shows a lessening coverage trend, so dips into MVFR CIGs are still
possible, but not anticipated. Northwest to north winds will
gradually veer over to north to northeast by this afternoon.

&&

.CLIMATE...
On this day in 1962, the daily record cold high temperature of 60F
was recorded at Key West, and 62F at Marathon. Temperature records
for Key West date back to 1872, and for Marathon to 1950.

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

Public/Marine/Fire...AP
Aviation/Nowcasts....MC
Data Acquisition.....MC

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