


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
245 FXUS63 KLBF 081748 AFDLBF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service North Platte NE 1248 PM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Expect a cool and blustery day on Wednesday with daytime highs running up to 5F below normal for central Nebraska. - Temperatures will rebound quickly, reaching well above normal levels (10F+) each day from Thursday through Sunday. - Precipitation potential remains limited, with probabilities no higher than 25% on any given day. && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... Issued at 326 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025 Early morning satellite analysis shows clear skies across much of Nebraska as the area resides on the western periphery of high pressure. This will change quickly this morning as southerly flow returns. To the south, expansive moisture in the form of low and mid- level stratus will gradually advect north into western Nebraska closer to daybreak. This will introduce cloudy skies to most and effectively work to quell any warm up today. Highs as a result will vary from the lower 60s across central Nebraska where cloud cover will remain most persistent, to lower 70s for areas along and west of Highway 61. While moisture advection will be strong, WAA and lift within this narrow layer will be weak and so no precipitation is expected as a result. Through the daytime, strong flow off the surface will linger and allow from blustery conditions. Gusts will likely top 35 mph, perhaps as strong as 45 mph in a few locations, as southerly unidirectional flow will exist within the boundary layer. This will promote efficient momentum transfer and these stronger gusts should continue into the overnight, especially outside of sheltered valleys. The result will be mild overnight lows roughly 10-15F above normal values in the upper 40s to low 50s. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... Issued at 326 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025 Broad upper-ridging will amplify by early Thursday, with height rises across much of the Central Plains. Strong northern stream disturbance across southern Canada will pull a cool front south into western Nebraska during the daytime. Winds behind this front will be weak but dry air will mix down to the surface. While this usually would signal fire weather concerns with the abnormal warmth, winds likely remain less than 15 mph where the lowest humidity occurs. Ridge axis settles near the Highway 385 corridor by early Friday, but ridging begins to breakdown as broad troughing moves into the Pacific Northwest. Greatest height falls occur late Friday into early Saturday and this coincides with a return of low-end (< 25%) precipitation chances. Even with an influx of tropical moisture from the remnants of Hurricane Priscilla, the rainfall outlook will be poor. This is largely due to the lack of any greater source of lift locally with most if not all the upper-level dynamics remaining northwest of Nebraska. Even so, these limited PoPs will dot the forecast Friday night through much of early next week. Both EPS/GEFS outlooks favor west of the Continental Divide for the threat of heavy rain but recent trends from the EPS have been to increase QPF for the start of the weekend across western Nebraska. This bears watching. Temperatures will remain above normal through Saturday before a more regressive cool front settles south and east bringing another preview of Fall with temperatures back to the 60s and 70s. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/... Issued at 1247 PM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025 Gusty winds will continue through the afternoon and into early evening. Winds will remain above 20 knots through the night across northern Nebraska. Elsewhere, winds are expected to diminish after sunset. Skies will remain in VFR conditions through the TAF period with ceilings generally over 6000 feet. && .LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...NMJ LONG TERM...NMJ AVIATION...Kulik